Alverca vs Sporting Braga: match statistics
Alverca vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alverca played Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Alverca: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match. Sporting Braga: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alverca scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alverca 75%, Sporting Braga 50%. Over 2.5: Alverca 50%, Sporting Braga 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.16. Alverca: 11.0 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 11.0.
Match halves
Alverca: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Alverca: 61-75 (2 goals). Sporting Braga: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting Braga remain unbeaten in their last 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while Alverca have failed to win any of their games during that period and have suffered 3 defeats. The visitors create more chances in the final third: away from home, they average 13 shots and 4 on target, compared with Alverca’s 9.5 shots and 2.5 on target. Braga’s advantage is also evident in chance quality, with an average xG of 1.47 and just 0.81 xG conceded, while Alverca generate only 1.05 xG and allow opponents 1.35. The hosts have conceded 9 goals in their last five matches, so Braga’s greater away possession, standing at 64% compared with Alverca’s 48% at home, should translate into an advantage for the visitors. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as both teams have drawn all of their matches so far under these conditions, but superior form and chance quality favour Sporting Braga.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Braga have conceded an average of just 0.4 goals over their last 5 matches, while their average xG allowed stands at only 0.82. Over the same period, Alverca scored just 0.8 goals per game with an xG of 1.06, limiting their chances of breaking down the visitors’ well-organised defence. The hosts have also kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far, so a scenario in which Braga also fail to score cannot be ruled out despite their higher average of 2.0 goals per game. The latest BTTS figures stand at 60% for Alverca but only 20% for Braga, while the league average of 42% provides no additional support for the Goal/Goal option. Therefore, the most likely outcome is one in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Alverka’s last five matches produced an average of just 0.8 goals scored, while Braga conceded only 0.4 goals per game over the same period. The visitors are also defensively solid in terms of chance quality, with average xG conceded standing at 0.82 compared to Alverka’s 1.37 xG allowed. Braga should have a greater share of the attacking play, but their average over the last five appearances is only 1.0 goal, with the overall projected total at 1.85 goals. Furthermore, only 20% of Braga’s recent matches and 40% of Alverka’s games went Over 2.5 goals, making Under 3.5 goals the strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Sporting Braga win after the match, as Alverca recorded a level score at the break in 60% of their last five games, compared with 80% for Braga. The first halves involving these teams have been low-scoring: Alverca failed to score in them, while Braga averaged 0.4 goals scored and conceded just 0.2. After the break, the quality advantage lies with the visitors, who averaged 1.8 points per game over their last five matches compared with Alverca’s 0.4, remaining unbeaten with 60% draws and 40% wins. During this period, Braga conceded just 0.4 goals per match, compared with Alverca’s 1.8, while their average xG stands at 1.47 versus 1.15 for the hosts, increasing the likelihood of a second-half turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alverca | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.5 pts / match - Alverca · 2 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Alverca · 1.5 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Alverca · 1 goals / match - Sporting Braga
Alverca scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Sporting Braga scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alverca
Over / Under - Sporting Braga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Alverca · 1 pts / match - Sporting Braga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alverca - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 25% |
| No goal | 100% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alverca
Sporting Braga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Alverca | Liga | Sporting Braga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.74 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Alverca 0 - 0 - 2 Sporting Braga. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alverca vs Sporting Braga?
The Liga NOS match finished Alverca 1:2 Sporting Braga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alverca and Sporting Braga?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0, Sporting Braga won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alverca vs Sporting Braga?
Alverca score 1.00 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.50. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Alverca's matches and 50% of Sporting Braga's.
What form are Alverca and Sporting Braga in?
Over the last 5 games Alverca have a 0-2-2 record (0.50 points per game) and Sporting Braga 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alverca vs Sporting Braga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Alverca vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.