América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
América de Cali played Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
América de Cali: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
América de Cali scores 1.52 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.45 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: América de Cali 36%, Independiente Medellín 65%. Over 2.5: América de Cali 42%, Independiente Medellín 61%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.50. América de Cali: 13.6 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.7.
Match halves
América de Cali: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
América de Cali: 16-30 (13 goals). Independiente Medellín: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-2. Average goals 2.43, BTTS 71%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América de Cali have won 69% of their home matches, while Independiente Medellín have won 36% of their away games, giving the hosts a clear advantage. América average 2 goals scored and just 0.44 conceded per home match; away from home, the visitors score 1.43 goals and concede 1.36 on average. The hosts also create more dangerous chances: their average home xG is 1.78, compared with 1.31 for their opponents in away matches. In their last five games, América recorded 3 wins and conceded 4 goals, while Medellín won just once and conceded 8. With the hosts keeping a clean sheet in 63% of their home matches, compared with 21% of the visitors’ away games, an América win is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored in 65% and 64% of their matches this season, respectively—above the league average of 55%. América de Cali average 1.47 goals per match, while Independiente Medellín average 1.43; both sides also concede regularly, at 1.24 and 1.36 goals per match, respectively. The hosts generate an average of 1.76 xG against 1.35 xG conceded by the visitors, strengthening the case for them to score. Medellín also have attacking credentials: they averaged 1.70 xG across their last five matches, despite scoring 1.2 goals per game, while América conceded 1.49 xG over that period. The risk that one side fails to score remains real, but the attacking records of both teams and their season-long scoring rates point towards BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal). BTTS - No means at least one team fails to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 76% of América de Cali matches and 79% of Independiente Medellín matches. The hosts average 1.47 goals with an xG of 1.76, while the visitors concede an average of 1.36 goals, giving América a solid chance of scoring. Medellín average 1.43 goals, while América concede 1.24; over their last five matches, the teams scored 1.2 and 1.6 goals per game, respectively. The Over 2.5 line is less reliable, although it has landed in 59% of the hosts’ matches and 64% of the visitors’ matches, so the case for Over 1.5 goals is stronger.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Independiente Medellín were level at the break in 57% of their matches and failed to score in the first half in 64%. América de Cali also went into half-time level in 35% of their games, although taking the lead in 2 of their last 5 matches shows that an early advantage remains a realistic alternative. The case for a home win at full-time is supported by higher average xG, 1.76 versus 1.31, and better form: 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared with 1 win for the visitors. After the break, América won 59% of second halves and conceded an average of just 0.18 goals, while Medellín won 28% of second halves and conceded an average of 0.86 goals. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win has the strongest statistical backing, although the visitors’ average of 1.00 goals scored after the break limits confidence in this selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| América de Cali | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
América de Cali is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - América de Cali · 1 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América de Cali is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.52 goals / match - América de Cali · 1.45 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
América de Cali is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - América de Cali · 1.29 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
América de Cali scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while América de Cali keeps a clean sheet in 48% (16 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - América de Cali
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
América de Cali is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - América de Cali · 0.94 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
América de Cali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
América de Cali
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| América de Cali | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 54% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Independiente MedellínSubstitutionOn: John Edwin Montaño PreciadoOff: Yony Alexander González Copete
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): América de Cali 2 - 3 - 2 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 2.43, both teams scored in 71% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished América de Cali 1:2 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between América de Cali and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches América de Cali won 2, Independiente Medellín won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín?
América de Cali score 1.52 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.45. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 36% of América de Cali's matches and 65% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are América de Cali and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games América de Cali have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín?
The statistical background for América de Cali vs Independiente Medellín — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.