América vs Toluca: match statistics
América vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
América played Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
América: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Toluca: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
América scores 2.43 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Toluca scores 2.07 and concedes 1.36. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: América 71%, Toluca 71%. Over 2.5: América 64%, Toluca 64%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
América has higher xG: 2.14 vs 2.03. América: 19.9 shots per match, Toluca: 19.4.
Match halves
América: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.50. Toluca: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
América: 76-90+ (8 goals). Toluca: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
América are favorites thanks to their greater attacking efficiency at home: they score an average of 2 goals per match, while Toluca average 1.57 away from home. The hosts also create better chances, recording an xG of 2.03 compared with the visitors’ 1.57, and average 6.5 shots on target to Toluca’s 5.29. Defensively, América concede 0.83 goals per home match, while Toluca concede 1.14 away, although both teams have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches. América’s current form also favors the hosts: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Toluca are winless in that span, with 4 draws and a defeat. However, Toluca’s high away draw rate of 43% means a share of the points remains a significant possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In each of their last 5 matches, both teams scored, and each conceded an average of 2.0 goals over that span. Across the full period analyzed, the hosts had BTTS - Yes in 86% of their matches, compared with 57% for the visitors and a league average of 61%. América average 2.57 goals per match and have an xG of 2.48, while Toluca allow opponents an xG of 1.73, strongly supporting the hosts’ chances of scoring. Toluca, in turn, average 1.57 goals, while América keep a clean sheet in just 14% of matches, making an away goal likely as well. Although Toluca have failed to score in 14% of their matches, both teams’ current run points more clearly to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
América score an average of 2.57 goals per match and post an xG of 2.48, while Toluca allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.73. The visitors score an average of 1.57 goals, and the hosts concede 1.57, giving both teams a solid chance of finding the net. Over their last 5 matches, América averaged 3.2 goals scored and Toluca 1.8, while both teams conceded 2.0 goals per game. Over 1.5 goals landed in all of América’s matches and 71% of Toluca’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick, even though a higher-scoring outcome is possible.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
América led at the break in 5 of 7 matches, while Toluca were trailing at that stage in 2 of 7 and level in 4. The hosts average 1.43 goals before half-time compared with 0.43 for the visitors, which points to an early lead. Across the full match, América create chances worth 2.48 xG compared with Toluca’s 1.57 and average 7.14 shots on target versus 5.29. The risk with this HT/FT pick is Toluca’s strong second-half performance: they have not lost the second half in any of their 7 matches, while América concede an average of 1.14 goals in that period. Even so, the hosts’ stronger start and clear edge in chance creation make América leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| América | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
América is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - América · 0.8 pts / match - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
América is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
2.43 goals / match - América · 2.07 goals / match - Toluca
América scores in 100% of matches (14 of 14 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Toluca scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while América keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - América
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
América - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
América
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| América | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.79 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 93% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): América 1 - 0 - 1 Toluca. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of América vs Toluca?
The Liga MX match finished América 2:2 Toluca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between América and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches América won 1, Toluca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before América vs Toluca?
América score 2.43 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.07. The Liga MX average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of América's matches and 71% of Toluca's.
What form are América and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games América have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Toluca 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for América vs Toluca?
The statistical background for América vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.