Annan Athletic vs Stranraer: match statistics
Annan Athletic display solid home form with 40% wins and just 20% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. The hosts have a better goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average of goals scored (1.93) compared to Stranraer away (1.4). Stranraer are in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a high away defeat rate (40%). Annan Athletic also boast a better ball possession rate (54% vs 50%) and a lower percentage of goalless matches at home (7% vs 27% for Stranraer away). Considering all statistics, the hosts have a realistic chance of victory, although the balanced nature of both teams' season leaves room for a draw.
Annan Athletic vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Annan Athletic played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Annan Athletic: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Stranraer: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Annan Athletic scores 1.33 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.30 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Annan Athletic 60%, Stranraer 70%. Over 2.5: Annan Athletic 57%, Stranraer 53%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.20. Annan Athletic: 8.3 shots per match, Stranraer: 9.6.
Match halves
Annan Athletic: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.70. Stranraer: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Annan Athletic: 76-90+ (14 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Annan Athletic display solid home form with 40% wins and just 20% losses at their own stadium, giving them a psychological advantage. The hosts have a better goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average of goals scored (1.93) compared to Stranraer away (1.4). Stranraer are in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and a high away defeat rate (40%). Annan Athletic also boast a better ball possession rate (54% vs 50%) and a lower percentage of goalless matches at home (7% vs 27% for Stranraer away). Considering all statistics, the hosts have a realistic chance of victory, although the balanced nature of both teams' season leaves room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data strongly supports BTTS: Annan has 80% of matches with BTTS, and Stranraer 60%, with average goals scored 1.2–1.4 and conceded 1.33–1.4. Annan very rarely keeps a clean sheet (7%), and Stranraer only in 20%, which increases the chance of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches, BTTS remains high (Annan 60%, Stranraer 80%), and both teams concede an average of 2.0 goals per game, indicating defensive issues in current form. Stranraer generates solid chances (xG for 1.33 in the season and 1.73 in the last 5), while Annan scores an average of 1.8 goals in the last 5, so offensive potential is present on both sides. The number of shots on target (4.27 vs 5.27) and decent conversion rates (12% and 15%) further boost the probability that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal model based on seasonal averages and xG indicates a projected total of approximately 2.85 goals (Annan 1.40, Stranraer 1.45), which aligns with the league's high average (2.97). Both teams generate a similar volume of shots (approx. 9.6–9.7) and shots on target (4.27 vs 5.27), with Stranraer boasting a higher conversion rate (15% vs 12%), supporting a goal-scoring scenario. The Over 1.5 line provides a very strong signal: it has occurred in 87% of Annan's and 80% of Stranraer's matches this season, alongside a high BTTS percentage (80% and 60%). Furthermore, recent form over the last 5 matches amplifies the goal risk (Annan: 1.8 scored & 2.0 conceded; Stranraer: 2.0 conceded), with Annan's Over 2.5 rate in this period at 100%. The 2.5 line is closer to equilibrium (league profile 56% Over 2.5), while for 3.5, matches still more frequently fall short of four goals, hence the preference for Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for HT is a draw: Annan draws at half-time in as many as 67% of their matches (10/15), while Stranraer has a 33% HT draw rate. Annan defends well in the first half (on average 0.4 goals conceded and 60% clean sheets at HT), which limits the risk of trailing at the break (only 7%). In their last 5 matches, Stranraer has not led once at HT (0%), further strengthening the scenario of a balanced first half. After the break, both teams are less stable (Annan: 0.93 goals conceded in the 2nd half and a negative 2H goal difference; Stranraer draws more often in the 2H – 60% and has a 53% clean sheet rate), which favors the scoreline holding and a final draw. Overall, the teams are closely matched (PPG 1.20 vs 1.27; xG 1.29 vs 1.33), and with a high BTTS rate (Annan 80%, Stranraer 60%), this most often leads to a share of the points.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Annan Athletic | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Annan Athletic is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 0.8 pts / match - Stranraer
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stranraer is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Annan Athletic · 1.37 goals / match - Stranraer
Annan Athletic scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
Stranraer scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Annan Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Annan Athletic
Over / Under - Stranraer
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Annan Athletic · 1.4 pts / match - Stranraer
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Annan Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Annan Athletic
Stranraer
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Annan Athletic | Liga | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.97 | ▼ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Annan Athletic 1 - 2 - 0 Stranraer. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?
The League Two match finished Annan Athletic 1:0 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Annan Athletic and Stranraer?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Annan Athletic won 1, Stranraer won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?
Annan Athletic score 1.33 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.30. The League Two average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Annan Athletic's matches and 70% of Stranraer's.
What form are Annan Athletic and Stranraer in?
Over the last 5 games Annan Athletic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Stranraer 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Annan Athletic vs Stranraer?
The statistical background for Annan Athletic vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.