Annecy vs Rodez: match statistics

Rodez sit 2nd, while Annecy are 4th, and the visitors made a stronger offensive start to the season: they scored 3 goals in their opening match compared with the hosts’ 1. In their last five matches, Rodez have scored 11 goals, averaging 2.2 per game, clearly more than Annecy’s 7 goals at an average of 1.4. Both teams have identical records across their last five fixtures — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat — and have averaged 1.6 points during this period, making a draw a realistic scenario. Annecy do, however, boast a slightly tighter defence, conceding 6 goals in five matches compared with Rodez’s 9. Rodez’s greater consistency in front of goal and higher league position marginally point towards an away win.

The strongest argument for both teams to score is their current form: Annecy and Rodez had BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, equating to 80% for each side. Rodez averaged 2.2 goals per match during this period, while Annecy averaged 1.4, with both defences conceding 1.8 and 1.2 goals respectively. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures from the last five matches: 1.64 for Rodez and 1.03 for Annecy, while their opponents averaged 1.13 and 1.28 xG respectively. At home, Annecy scored 3.0 goals per match in the available sample, with an xG of 2.48, so the hosts should have a clear chance of finding the net. Although the league BTTS average is only 44%, the recent run of both teams and their latest scoring figures clearly support the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Annecy’s last five matches produced an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while Rodez scored as many as 2.2 goals per game and conceded 1.8. During this period, both teams had matches featuring at least three goals in 60% of cases, while both teams scored in 80% of their games. A particularly strong argument for goals is Rodez’s attacking output, with an average xG of 1.64 across the last five matches, compared with 1.28 xG conceded by Annecy. Annecy also has a solid chance of scoring, having generated 2.48 xG at home and averaged 9 shots on target. The Over 1.5 goals line has a clear edge, as the forecast of 2.80 goals and the open profiles of both teams limit the risk of a very low-scoring game.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Annecy win at full-time, as the hosts recorded a 0-0 scoreline at the break in the available home sample before going on to win 3-1. Annecy averaged 3.0 goals at home, with an xG of 2.48 and 9 shots on target per match, while limiting opponents to an xG of just 0.63. Recent-match data also points to a cautious start: the hosts average 0.67 goals scored before half-time, compared with Rodez’s 0.75, while the teams average 1.33 and 1.25 total goals respectively in first halves. After the break, Annecy averaged 3.0 goals in the home sample, while Rodez have recently recorded as many as 1.5 goals scored in the second half, increasing the likelihood of the match being decided after half-time. Annecy’s superior chance-creation quality and their 100% win rate in the home sample support the view that, after an even start, the hosts will turn the result in their favour.