Ansan Greeners vs Daegu: match statistics

Daegu sit 4th, while Ansan Greeners are only 15th, and the visitors’ season record stands at 11 wins and 5 defeats compared with the hosts’ 5 wins and 13 losses. Away from home, Daegu average 1.90 goals per match, create chances worth 1.71 xG and register 13.3 shots, while Ansan score 1.08 goals at home with 1.22 xG and 9.15 shots. The hosts’ defensive weakness could prove decisive: they concede an average of 2.00 goals on home soil and allow opponents 1.97 xG, without keeping a single clean sheet. Daegu lose just 20% of their away matches, whereas Ansan suffer defeat in 69% of their home games and have a -12 goal difference. The teams’ last five matches have been fairly inconsistent, but the visitors have collected 1.4 points per game during this period compared with 1.0 for the hosts, further strengthening the case for a Daegu win.

Daegu has a very high seasonal rate of matches featuring goals from both teams, at 80%, while Ansan Greeners stands at 58%, compared with the league average of 63%. Both teams find the net regularly: the hosts average 1.92 goals and the visitors 1.90, while their average xG figures are 1.82 and 1.71, respectively. In their last five matches, each team scored 6 goals and conceded 8, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Particularly significant is the fact that Ansan has not finished a single match this season without scoring, while Daegu has kept a clean sheet in only 20% of its appearances. Despite Ansan's lower xG over the last five matches, at 0.89, the poor defensive run of both teams and their goal-scoring profile provide stronger support for the BTTS - Yes scenario.

Both teams have clear attacking strengths: Ansan average 1.82 xG, while Daegu average 1.71 xG per match. Their defenses simultaneously allow 1.49 and 1.57 xG respectively, supporting a projection of around 2.85 total goals in the game. At least 2 goals were scored in 83% of Ansan’s matches and 80% of Daegu’s fixtures, while both teams conceded 1.6 goals per match across their last five games. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as even with their recent finishing dipping, both sides scored 6 goals each in their last five appearances, and their vulnerable defenses should increase the likelihood of at least two goals.

The strongest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Ansan victory, as the hosts were level at the break in 67% of their matches, while Daegu recorded a half-time draw in 60% of their last five games. The opening stages should be cautious: Ansan average just 0.58 goals before the break, whereas Daegu have failed to score in the first 45 minutes in each of their last five outings. After the interval, the hosts’ advantage increases, with Ansan averaging 1.33 goals scored and 0.58 conceded in the second half, while Daegu concede 0.90 goals during that period. The hosts’ expected full-time triumph is also supported by their higher average points per game, 1.92 compared with 1.60, superior attacking xG, 1.82 compared with 1.71, and Ansan’s 58% win rate versus Daegu’s 40%. The recommended HT/FT pick is X/1.