APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: match statistics
APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
APEA played Ethnikos Latsion in Second Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
APEA: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Ethnikos Latsion: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
APEA scores 1.29 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Ethnikos Latsion scores 0.96 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: APEA 46%, Ethnikos Latsion 46%. Over 2.5: APEA 50%, Ethnikos Latsion 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
APEA has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.22. APEA: 7.2 shots per match, Ethnikos Latsion: 7.1.
Match halves
APEA: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Ethnikos Latsion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
APEA: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ethnikos Latsion: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
APEA holds a clear advantage on paper: the hosts have scored 36 goals this season and average 1.5 goals at home, while Ethnikos Latsion averages just 1.0 goal away and has 27 goals overall. Defensively APEA also performs better — they concede 1.43 goals on average in home matches, with an average xG against of 1.07, whereas the visitors concede 1.64 goals away and have xG against of 1.59, suggesting Ethnikos allows more high-quality chances. The quality of created chances is similar (attacking xG 1.33 for APEA vs 1.34 for Ethnikos), but the hosts are slightly more efficient in front of goal (conversion rate 12% vs 11%) and have a higher clean sheet percentage at home (36% vs 21%). The last 5 matches show comparable short-term form — both teams average 2 points per game and have 3 wins in five fixtures — however the season goal tally (36 vs 27) and APEA’s home goal difference (+1) give the hosts a stronger basis for victory. Considering the hosts’ superior defense and higher effectiveness in the opponent’s box, I forecast an APEA win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS rates are 50% for APEA and 43% for Ethnikos Latsion, while the league BTTS level is 49%, yielding an overall near 50:50 scenario. Both sides concede frequently this season — APEA 1.50 and Ethnikos 1.64 per match — with xG against of 1.66 (APEA) vs 1.59 (Ethnikos), meaning both teams regularly allow opponent chances. Ethnikos is noticeably more attacking (10.17 shots and 4.75 on target with xG 1.34) than APEA (7.55 shots, 2.82 on target and xG 1.08), while APEA have scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per match) and Ethnikos 7 (1.4), so both teams can find the net. The counterargument is the low recent BTTS frequency — 40% in the last 5 matches for both teams — and seasonal goals-per-game of 0.93 and 1.00 indicating moderate scoring efficiency. Considering the low clean sheet rates (14% APEA, 21% Ethnikos), higher away xG and shot volume, and seasonal BTTS near 49–50%, I recommend BTTS - Yes with a moderate lean.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate APEA will score about 1.34 goals and Ethnikos Latsion about 1.50 goals, giving a total of ~2.84 goals. The calculation is based on xG: home side 1.08 xG, away 1.34 xG, while average xG against is 1.66 for APEA and 1.59 for Ethnikos — the averages of those pairs produce the stated 1.34 and 1.50. Season-long stats show Over 1.5 goals occurs in 79% of matches for both teams (79% average), while Over 2.5 occurs only in 43% (APEA) and 36% (Ethnikos), i.e. roughly 40% combined. Ethnikos averages 4.75 shots on target versus APEA’s 2.82, and in the last 5 matches APEA scored 9 goals (1.8 per game) and conceded 4, Ethnikos scored 7 (1.4) and conceded 3 — these figures support a moderately higher probability of at least 2 goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended), with Over 2.5 estimated at ~42% and Over 3.5 at ~21%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ethnikos Latsion has the edge in chance creation: xG 1.34 versus APEA's 1.08, averaging 10.17 shots and 4.75 shots on target compared to the hosts' 7.55 and 2.82, which increases the visitors' chances of winning after 90 minutes. Few goals are scored by half-time — APEA averages 0.43 goals in the first half, the visitors 0.57, and the first-half goals average is around 1.36–1.43, so a draw at the break is a realistic scenario. HT statistics are mixed: the hosts were behind at the break in 57% of matches, but in the last 5 games APEA led at the break in 60% of cases, therefore the model assigns ~36% probability to a half-time draw. The visitors' higher xG and SOT and their activity after the break (79% of the visitors' matches with >0.5 goals in the second half) lead me to select the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at the break and visitors to win (X/2), to which I assign the largest single weight of 26%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| APEA | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
APEA is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - APEA · 0.96 goals / match - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - APEA · 1.57 goals / match - Ethnikos Latsion
APEA scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Ethnikos Latsion keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Ethnikos Latsion scores in 61% of matches (17 of 28 matches), while APEA keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - APEA
Over / Under - Ethnikos Latsion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
APEA is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - APEA · 1.04 pts / match - Ethnikos Latsion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
APEA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethnikos Latsion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
APEA
Ethnikos Latsion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| APEA | Liga | Ethnikos Latsion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- APEAGoalAjack Aling Deng
- APEAGoalConstantinos Louvaris
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): APEA 2 - 0 - 0 Ethnikos Latsion. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The Second Division match finished APEA 2:1 Ethnikos Latsion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between APEA and Ethnikos Latsion?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches APEA won 2, Ethnikos Latsion won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
APEA score 1.29 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Latsion 0.96. The Second Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of APEA's matches and 46% of Ethnikos Latsion's.
What form are APEA and Ethnikos Latsion in?
Over the last 5 games APEA have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Ethnikos Latsion 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion?
The statistical background for APEA vs Ethnikos Latsion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.