Araz vs Kapaz: match statistics
Araz vs Kapaz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Araz played Kapaz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The match was played on 9 October 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Araz: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Kapaz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Araz scores 0.83 and concedes 2.17 goals per match. Kapaz scores 0.80 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Araz 50%, Kapaz 40%. Over 2.5: Araz 67%, Kapaz 20%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Araz has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.04. Araz: 10.3 shots per match, Kapaz: 7.4.
Match halves
Araz: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Kapaz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Araz: 76-90+ (2 goals). Kapaz: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premyer Liqası: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Kapaz sit 7th and have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while 12th-placed Araz have picked up just 1 point and are still without a win over the same period. The hosts have conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches, boosting the visitors’ chances despite their modest tally of 4 goals all season. Araz average just 0.67 goals at home, with an xG of 0.75, so they are unlikely to create many clear-cut chances. Kapaz failed to score in their only away match so far, posting an xG of 0.55, which makes the visitors’ edge far from convincing and leaves a draw firmly in the picture. However, Kapaz’s stronger recent results point to a narrow away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against both teams scoring is Kapaz’s away record: they average 0 goals scored, have failed to score in 100% of such matches, and have an xG of just 0.55. Araz have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, further increasing the likelihood that the visitors will fail to score. The hosts, meanwhile, average 1.0 goal and 1.17 xG at home, while Kapaz concede an average of 2.0 goals away, making an Araz-only scoring outcome more likely than a 0-0 draw. Some caution is warranted given Kapaz’s last 5 matches: they averaged 0.8 goals scored, and both teams scored in 40% of those games. However, those results also include matches played at home and do not outweigh Kapaz’s poor away record. Overall, the case supports BTTS - No: at least one team is expected not to score, with Araz more likely to find the net than Kapaz.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Araz average 1.0 goals at home, while Kapaz concede 2.0 goals away, giving the hosts a greater chance of finding the net. The visitors’ attacking potential looks more modest: their away xG is 0.55, although they have averaged 0.8 goals over their last 5 matches, while Araz have conceded 2.6. Despite the hosts’ defensive weakness, Under 3.5 goals landed in 75% of their home matches and 100% of Kapaz’s away matches. With a projection of 2.30 goals, Under 3.5 offers the strongest signal, although Araz’s recent high number of goals conceded remains a significant risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Araz have failed to score in the first half in all 4 of their home matches, while Kapaz have not scored before the break in any of their last 5 games. The hosts’ advantage is more pronounced after the break—they have won the second half in 3 of 4 home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal in that period. Araz’s average xG of 1.17 compared with Kapaz’s 0.55, along with 1.75 points per home game versus the visitors’ 0 points per away game, also support a home win. However, the signal is not conclusive: across their last 5 matches overall, Araz have averaged just 0.2 points per game, while Kapaz have averaged 1.4. Despite this difference in current form, the combination of goalless first halves and Araz’s stronger performances after the break points to a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Araz | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kapaz is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Araz · 1.4 pts / match - Kapaz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kapaz is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.17 goals / match - Araz · 1.4 goals / match - Kapaz
Araz scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Kapaz keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Kapaz scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Araz
Over / Under - Kapaz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Araz is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Araz · 0.6 pts / match - Kapaz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Araz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kapaz - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Araz
Kapaz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Araz | Liga | Kapaz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.50 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 32% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Araz 3 - 0 - 0 Kapaz. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Araz vs Kapaz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Araz 0:2 Kapaz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Araz and Kapaz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Araz won 3, Kapaz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Araz vs Kapaz?
Araz score 0.83 goals per game on average and Kapaz 0.80. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Araz's matches and 40% of Kapaz's.
What form are Araz and Kapaz in?
Over the last 5 games Araz have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Kapaz 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Araz vs Kapaz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Araz vs Kapaz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.