Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 16 October 2026

Arda vs Botev Vratsa: match statistics

Arda crest
Arda
2 : 0half-time 0:0
Botev Vratsa crest
Botev Vratsa

Arda vs Botev Vratsa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arda played Botev Vratsa in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 31 August 2026. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Arda: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Botev Vratsa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arda scores 1.50 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Botev Vratsa scores 0.67 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arda 50%, Botev Vratsa 50%. Over 2.5: Arda 33%, Botev Vratsa 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Arda has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.11. Arda: 9.7 shots per match, Botev Vratsa: 7.2.

Match halves

Arda: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.67. Botev Vratsa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Arda: 16-30 (3 goals). Botev Vratsa: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Arda have won 4 of their last 5 matches and have a season record of 4 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, while Botev Vratsa have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The hosts have won every home match so far, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding just 0.50, whereas the visitors score only 0.67 goals away from home while conceding 3.00. Arda’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: they average 5 shots on target per match compared to Botev’s 2, and enjoy 58% possession versus their opponents’ 45%. The hosts’ defence allows opponents an xG of 0.77, while Botev’s away defence concedes an xG of 1.84 and has kept no clean sheets. With Botev having suffered three consecutive away defeats, a convincing Arda victory is the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS pick is not primarily based on Botev Vratsa’s limited attacking potential: the visitors average just 0.67 goals per season and 0.6 over their last 5 matches. Arda are currently very solid defensively, conceding only 0.6 goals per game across their last five fixtures, with opponents averaging 0.93 xG. BTTS has landed in just 40% of both teams’ last five matches, while Arda have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games this season. The visitors’ weak defence, conceding 2.4 goals per match in their recent run, increases Arda’s chances of scoring, but does not offset the low probability of Botev finding the net. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team—most notably Botev Vratsa—will fail to score, making BTTS - No the preferred outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Arda are in clearly better form: they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded over their last five matches, while Botev Vratsa have conceded an average of 2.4 goals. The hosts also have a favorable chance-quality profile, with their recent xG standing at 1.50, while their opponents allow 1.49 xG per match. Botev Vratsa have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their recent run, but Arda conceded in 67% of their matches this season, leaving the visitors with a realistic route to finding the net. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 67% of Arda’s matches and in all of Botev’s games, while the projected total of 2.55 goals strongly supports Over 1.5. The Over 2.5 line is more evenly balanced, as Arda have had over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their last five appearances, making Over 1.5 the safest value pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Arda have been clearly superior in their last five matches: they have won 4 of 5, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceding just 0.6, while Botev Vratsa have lost 4 of 5, scoring 0.6 goals and allowing opponents 2.4. The hosts have looked particularly strong before the break, as they have not been behind at half-time in any of their last five matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded in the first half. The visitors were trailing at half-time in 60% of their last five matches, averaging only 0.2 goals scored in this period while conceding 1.0. Seasonal home and away data also support this HT/FT scenario: Arda have recorded 1 win and 2 draws at half-time, whereas Botev Vratsa have been behind in all 3 first halves and lost all 3 away matches. After the break, the hosts maintain the stronger points form, while Botev’s weak defence, conceding an average of 3.0 goals away from home, increases the likelihood of Arda holding their lead until full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
ArdaBotev Vratsa
6Shots10
ArdaBotev Vratsa
5Shots on target5
ArdaBotev Vratsa
1.22xG1.5
ArdaBotev Vratsa
3Corners8
ArdaBotev Vratsa
66Dangerous attacks70
ArdaBotev Vratsa
6Fouls17
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0Cards4
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.5Goals scored / match0.67
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0.67Goals conceded / match2.17
ArdaBotev Vratsa
57%Average possession47%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
4.5Shots on target / match2.33
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match7.17
ArdaBotev Vratsa
4.5Shots on target2.33
ArdaBotev Vratsa
15.5%Shot conversion9.3%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
57%Possession47%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
1.37xG for1.11
ArdaBotev Vratsa
1.06xG against1.41
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Shooting quality

Arda: Efficient finishingBotev Vratsa: Balanced
ArdaBotev Vratsa
Accuracy (shots on target)47%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arda is 300% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Arda · 0.6 pts / match - Botev Vratsa

Arda
WLWWW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Botev Vratsa
LLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arda is 124% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Arda · 0.67 goals / match - Botev Vratsa

Arda is 224% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Arda · 2.17 goals / match - Botev Vratsa

Arda scoring profile: very strong

Arda scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Botev Vratsa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Botev Vratsa scoring profile: mixed

Botev Vratsa scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

9Goals scored (season)4
ArdaBotev Vratsa
4Goals conceded (season)13
ArdaBotev Vratsa
2.17Average goals in match2.83
ArdaBotev Vratsa
8Goals scored (last 5)3
ArdaBotev Vratsa
3Goals conceded (last 5)12
ArdaBotev Vratsa

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
33%2 goals0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
17%3 goals0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%4 goals0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
17%2 goals67%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%3 goals33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%4 goals17%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
33%Scored in both halves0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
40%BTTS - last 540%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arda is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Arda · 0.83 pts / match - Botev Vratsa

Arda - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Botev Vratsa - half-time state
17% leading33% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)0.83
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.17
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
ArdaBotev Vratsa
1Average goals (1st half)1
ArdaBotev Vratsa
83%Clean sheet before half-time50%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
33%No goal before half-time83%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ArdaBotev Vratsa
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
ArdaBotev Vratsa
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.83
ArdaBotev Vratsa
50%Clean sheet after half-time33%
ArdaBotev Vratsa
33%No goal after half-time50%
ArdaBotev Vratsa

Arda - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Botev Vratsa - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Botev Vratsa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arda
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Botev Vratsa
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-40%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Botev Vratsa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.76
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
135%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

ArdaLigaBotev Vratsa
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.76• 2.83
Both teams scored▼ 50%57%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%54%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 50%23%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%70%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Botev VratsaYellow cardIvan Goranov
  2. Botev VratsaYellow cardMartin Ognyanov Smolenski
  3. ArdaGoalDominik Ivilin YankovAssist: Victor Popov
  4. Botev VratsaYellow cardPreslav Borukov
  5. Botev VratsaSubstitutionOn: Filip GogovOff: Kassim Hadji
  6. Botev VratsaYellow cardAleksandŭr Buchkov
  7. ArdaSubstitutionOn: Simeon VasilevOff: Birsent Karagaren

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Arda 0 - 0 - 2 Botev Vratsa. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

POFK Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
FK Arda Kardzhali
FK Arda Kardzhali
0 : 2
POFK Botev Vratsa

FAQ

What was the result of Arda vs Botev Vratsa?

The First League match finished Arda 2:0 Botev Vratsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arda and Botev Vratsa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arda won 0, Botev Vratsa won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Botev Vratsa?

Arda score 1.50 goals per game on average and Botev Vratsa 0.67. The First League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Arda's matches and 50% of Botev Vratsa's.

What form are Arda and Botev Vratsa in?

Over the last 5 games Arda have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Botev Vratsa 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Botev Vratsa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.