Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 18 September 2026

Arda vs Cherno More: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Arda vs Cherno More: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arda play Cherno More in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 19 September 2026.

Current form

Arda: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cherno More: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arda scores 1.56 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Cherno More scores 1.11 and concedes 2.11. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arda 56%, Cherno More 67%. Over 2.5: Arda 44%, Cherno More 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Arda has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.38. Arda: 9.7 shots per match, Cherno More: 9.3.

Match halves

Arda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.89. Cherno More: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Arda: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cherno More: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.75)
(3.35)
(4.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.56Goals scored / match1.11
ArdaCherno More
1.22Goals conceded / match2.11
ArdaCherno More
56%Average possession52%
ArdaCherno More
5.33Shots on target / match4.78
ArdaCherno More

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match9.33
ArdaCherno More
5.33Shots on target4.78
ArdaCherno More
16.1%Shot conversion11.9%
ArdaCherno More
56%Possession52%
ArdaCherno More
1.44xG for1.38
ArdaCherno More
1.26xG against1.27
ArdaCherno More

Shooting quality

Arda: Efficient finishingCherno More: Balanced
ArdaCherno More
Accuracy (shots on target)55%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arda is 125% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Arda · 0.8 pts / match - Cherno More

Arda
WWWLL
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
WWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Cherno More
LWLLD
Season result split
11% W22% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-6
0.56 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arda is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Arda · 1.11 goals / match - Cherno More

Arda is 73% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.22 goals / match - Arda · 2.11 goals / match - Cherno More

Arda scoring profile: very strong

Arda scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Cherno More scoring profile: mixed

Cherno More scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).

14Goals scored (season)10
ArdaCherno More
11Goals conceded (season)19
ArdaCherno More
2.78Average goals in match3.22
ArdaCherno More
9Goals scored (last 5)7
ArdaCherno More
8Goals conceded (last 5)11
ArdaCherno More

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
ArdaCherno More
44%2 goals33%
ArdaCherno More
11%3 goals11%
ArdaCherno More
0%4 goals0%
ArdaCherno More

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal100%
ArdaCherno More
33%2 goals56%
ArdaCherno More
22%3 goals44%
ArdaCherno More
11%4 goals11%
ArdaCherno More

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time22%
ArdaCherno More
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ArdaCherno More
22%Scored in both halves11%
ArdaCherno More

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ArdaCherno More
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
ArdaCherno More
60%BTTS - last 580%
ArdaCherno More

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
ArdaCherno More
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
ArdaCherno More
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
ArdaCherno More

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
ArdaCherno More
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
ArdaCherno More
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
ArdaCherno More

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arda is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Arda · 1 pts / match - Cherno More

Arda - half-time state
33% leading56% draw11% trailing
Cherno More - half-time state
22% leading33% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1
ArdaCherno More
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.56
ArdaCherno More
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
ArdaCherno More
1.11Average goals (1st half)1.22
ArdaCherno More
67%Clean sheet before half-time44%
ArdaCherno More
44%No goal before half-time56%
ArdaCherno More

After half-time (2nd half)

1.78Points per match (2nd half)0.67
ArdaCherno More
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
ArdaCherno More
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)1.44
ArdaCherno More
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2
ArdaCherno More
44%Clean sheet after half-time22%
ArdaCherno More
33%No goal after half-time67%
ArdaCherno More

Arda - second-half results

56% W11% D33% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cherno More - second-half results

11% W33% D56% L
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.8

Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cherno More - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arda
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Cherno More
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Cherno More

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.84
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

ArdaLigaCherno More
Average goals in match 2.782.68 3.22
Both teams scored 56%56% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 44%52% 67%
Clean sheets 44%25% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%68% 78%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Arda 1 - 2 - 1 Cherno More. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Arda and Cherno More play?

Arda face Cherno More on 19 September 2026 in First League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arda and Cherno More?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Arda won 1, Cherno More won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Cherno More?

Arda score 1.56 goals per game on average and Cherno More 1.11. The First League average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Arda's matches and 67% of Cherno More's.

What form are Arda and Cherno More in?

Over the last 5 games Arda have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cherno More 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Cherno More?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arda vs Cherno More: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.