Bulgaria - First LeagueData current as of 24 October 2026

Arda vs Levski Sofia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Arda vs Levski Sofia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arda play Levski Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 27 October 2026.

Current form

Arda: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Levski Sofia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arda scores 1.36 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Levski Sofia scores 2.30 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arda 55%, Levski Sofia 40%. Over 2.5: Arda 45%, Levski Sofia 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Levski Sofia has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.37. Arda: 9.3 shots per match, Levski Sofia: 13.8.

Match halves

Arda: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82. Levski Sofia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.70.

Goals by minute

Arda: 76-90+ (5 goals). Levski Sofia: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.61)
(3.34)
(1.78)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.36Goals scored / match2.3
ArdaLevski Sofia
1.55Goals conceded / match0.4
ArdaLevski Sofia
53%Average possession70%
ArdaLevski Sofia
4.91Shots on target / match6
ArdaLevski Sofia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.27Shots per match13.8
ArdaLevski Sofia
4.91Shots on target6
ArdaLevski Sofia
14.7%Shot conversion16.7%
ArdaLevski Sofia
53%Possession70%
ArdaLevski Sofia
1.37xG for1.91
ArdaLevski Sofia
1.36xG against0.85
ArdaLevski Sofia

Shooting quality

Arda: Efficient finishingLevski Sofia: Efficient finishing
ArdaLevski Sofia
Accuracy (shots on target)53%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Levski Sofia is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Arda · 2.6 pts / match - Levski Sofia

Arda
WLLDL
Season result split
45% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-4
1.55 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Levski Sofia
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
90% W10% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-0
2.80 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Levski Sofia is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Arda · 2.3 goals / match - Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia is 288% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.55 goals / match - Arda · 0.4 goals / match - Levski Sofia

Arda scoring profile: strong

Arda scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Levski Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).

Levski Sofia scoring profile: very strong

Levski Sofia scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

15Goals scored (season)23
ArdaLevski Sofia
17Goals conceded (season)4
ArdaLevski Sofia
2.91Average goals in match2.7
ArdaLevski Sofia
6Goals scored (last 5)8
ArdaLevski Sofia
13Goals conceded (last 5)2
ArdaLevski Sofia

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal90%
ArdaLevski Sofia
36%2 goals80%
ArdaLevski Sofia
9%3 goals30%
ArdaLevski Sofia
0%4 goals10%
ArdaLevski Sofia

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal40%
ArdaLevski Sofia
36%2 goals0%
ArdaLevski Sofia
27%3 goals0%
ArdaLevski Sofia
18%4 goals0%
ArdaLevski Sofia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time0%
ArdaLevski Sofia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ArdaLevski Sofia
18%Scored in both halves50%
ArdaLevski Sofia

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
ArdaLevski Sofia
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
ArdaLevski Sofia
60%BTTS - last 540%
ArdaLevski Sofia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
ArdaLevski Sofia
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
ArdaLevski Sofia
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ArdaLevski Sofia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
ArdaLevski Sofia
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
ArdaLevski Sofia
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
ArdaLevski Sofia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Levski Sofia is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.36 pts / match - Arda · 2 pts / match - Levski Sofia

Arda - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing
Levski Sofia - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.36Points per match (1st half)2
ArdaLevski Sofia
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.6
ArdaLevski Sofia
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0
ArdaLevski Sofia
1.18Average goals (1st half)0.6
ArdaLevski Sofia
64%Clean sheet before half-time100%
ArdaLevski Sofia
55%No goal before half-time50%
ArdaLevski Sofia

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)2.6
ArdaLevski Sofia
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)1.7
ArdaLevski Sofia
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
ArdaLevski Sofia
1.73Average goals (2nd half)2.1
ArdaLevski Sofia
36%Clean sheet after half-time60%
ArdaLevski Sofia
36%No goal after half-time10%
ArdaLevski Sofia

Arda - second-half results

45% W18% D36% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Levski Sofia - second-half results

80% W20% D0% L
20
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding180%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 90%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Arda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.4
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Levski Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.60
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.8
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arda
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Levski Sofia
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
4
1
46-60
5
2
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.80
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
82%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Levski Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
193%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
26%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.1
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

ArdaLigaLevski Sofia
Average goals in match▲ 2.912.71• 2.70
Both teams scored• 55%55%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 45%52%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▲ 36%25%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%69%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%81%▲ 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Arda 0 - 0 - 2 Levski Sofia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

PFC Levski Sofia
1 : 0
FK Arda Kardzhali
FK Arda Kardzhali
0 : 3
PFC Levski Sofia

FAQ

When do Arda and Levski Sofia play?

Arda face Levski Sofia on 27 October 2026 in First League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arda and Levski Sofia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arda won 0, Levski Sofia won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Levski Sofia?

Arda score 1.36 goals per game on average and Levski Sofia 2.30. The First League average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Arda's matches and 40% of Levski Sofia's.

What form are Arda and Levski Sofia in?

Over the last 5 games Arda have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Levski Sofia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Levski Sofia?

The statistical background for Arda vs Levski Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.