Arda vs Slavia Sofia: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Arda is in 10th place in the table and has a poor home record with just 20% wins at home, while Slavia Sofia is in 7th position, but also struggles away from home (22% wins). The recent form of both teams is average - Arda with 2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches, Slavia with 1.4 PPG. A key factor is the goal difference: Arda scores an average of 0.7 goals at home and concedes 1.0, while Slavia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.33 goals away. xG statistics show Arda's advantage in chance creation (1.65 vs 1.42), but their low efficiency (5% conversion rate) and the fact that they fail to score in 60% of home matches suggest offensive issues. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (40% for Arda at home, 33% for Slavia away) and the balanced statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
Arda vs Slavia Sofia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arda played Slavia Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Arda: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Slavia Sofia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arda scores 1.05 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Slavia Sofia scores 1.15 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arda 25%, Slavia Sofia 50%. Over 2.5: Arda 35%, Slavia Sofia 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Slavia Sofia has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.44. Arda: 11.2 shots per match, Slavia Sofia: 11.9.
Match halves
Arda: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.35. Slavia Sofia: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Arda: 31-45+ (7 goals). Slavia Sofia: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Arda is in 10th place in the table and has a poor home record with just 20% wins at home, while Slavia Sofia is in 7th position, but also struggles away from home (22% wins). The recent form of both teams is average - Arda with 2.0 PPG in the last 5 matches, Slavia with 1.4 PPG. A key factor is the goal difference: Arda scores an average of 0.7 goals at home and concedes 1.0, while Slavia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.33 goals away. xG statistics show Arda's advantage in chance creation (1.65 vs 1.42), but their low efficiency (5% conversion rate) and the fact that they fail to score in 60% of home matches suggest offensive issues. Considering the high draw percentages of both teams (40% for Arda at home, 33% for Slavia away) and the balanced statistics, the most likely outcome appears to be a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arda | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Slavia Sofia is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Arda · 2 pts / match - Slavia Sofia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Slavia Sofia is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Arda · 1.15 goals / match - Slavia Sofia
Arda is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Arda · 1.15 goals / match - Slavia Sofia
Arda scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while Slavia Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Slavia Sofia scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arda
Over / Under - Slavia Sofia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Slavia Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arda
Slavia Sofia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Arda | Liga | Slavia Sofia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 55% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arda 0 - 0 - 1 Slavia Sofia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
The First League match finished Arda 2:1 Slavia Sofia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
Arda score 1.05 goals per game on average and Slavia Sofia 1.15. The First League average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Arda's matches and 50% of Slavia Sofia's.
What form are Arda and Slavia Sofia in?
Over the last 5 games Arda have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Slavia Sofia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arda vs Slavia Sofia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.