Arema vs Bali United: match statistics
Arema vs Bali United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arema played Bali United in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Kanjuruhan. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Arema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bali United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arema scores 2.29 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Bali United scores 2.86 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arema 71%, Bali United 71%. Over 2.5: Arema 86%, Bali United 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.02. Arema: 6.6 shots per match, Bali United: 12.1.
Match halves
Arema: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. Bali United: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.86.
Goals by minute
Arema: 46-60 (4 goals). Bali United: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Although Bali United sit 3rd in the table and Arema 9th, the results in their respective home and away roles favor the hosts: Arema have won 50% of their home matches, while the visitors are yet to win away from home. At home, Arema average 2.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded, whereas Bali United score 1 goal and concede 1.67 per away match. The hosts are also more clinical in front of goal, converting 23% of their shots compared with the visitors’ 11%, although their average xG is only 1.31, against Bali United’s 1.18 away from home. Some caution is warranted given Arema’s form over their last five matches—one win and 11 goals conceded—and their home opponents’ xG of 1.75, which suggests the defence may allow the opposition to create chances. Despite these concerns, Arema’s clear advantage in their home results to date over Bali United’s away record makes a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 75% of Arema’s home matches and 67% of Bali United’s away matches, supporting the case for both teams to score. Arema average 4.25 goals at home and create chances worth 1.83 xG, while Bali United concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home, making a home goal seem likely. The visitors score only 1.0 goal per away match, but they have averaged 2.8 goals across their last five games, while Arema have conceded 2.2. Some caution is warranted because Bali United have failed to score in 33% of their away matches; even so, the overall statistical picture more clearly supports the “Yes” pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Arema average 4.25 goals at home and have gone over the 1.5-goal line in 100% of those matches, although their xG of 1.83 calls for caution given this high scoring rate. Bali United concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring at least twice. Recent form also points to goals: Arema have scored 9 and conceded 11 in their last five matches, while Bali United have scored 14 and conceded 6. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick; Over 2.5 offers a smaller edge, as only 33% of Bali United’s away matches have finished with at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Arema have led at the break and won all 4 of their home matches so far, while Bali United have not won any of their 3 away games. The hosts average 4.25 goals per home match, compared with the visitors’ 1.00 away, and their xG is 1.83 versus Bali United’s 1.18. Arema’s record of averaging 1.50 goals scored and conceding none in the first halves of their home matches supports the case for them to lead at the break. After half-time, Arema average 2.75 goals at home, while Bali United concede 1.33 away, strengthening the likelihood that the hosts will hold on to their lead. Confidence in the pick is tempered by overall form across the last 5 matches: Bali United led at the break in 60% of them, compared with just 20% for Arema. However, the home and away data point most strongly to 1/1 in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arema | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.76 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bali United is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Arema · 1.4 pts / match - Bali United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bali United is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
2.29 goals / match - Arema · 2.86 goals / match - Bali United
Bali United is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Arema · 1.14 goals / match - Bali United
Arema scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Bali United scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Arema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arema
Over / Under - Bali United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bali United is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Arema · 2.29 pts / match - Bali United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arema
Bali United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Arema | Liga | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.29 | 2.86 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 55% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Arema 0 - 0 - 2 Bali United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arema vs Bali United?
The Liga 1 match finished Arema 1:3 Bali United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Arema and Bali United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arema won 0, Bali United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Arema vs Bali United?
Arema score 2.29 goals per game on average and Bali United 2.86. The Liga 1 average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Arema's matches and 71% of Bali United's.
What form are Arema and Bali United in?
Over the last 5 games Arema have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bali United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arema vs Bali United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Arema vs Bali United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.