Aris vs AEK Athens: match statistics
AEK Athens is displaying dominant form, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins, 1 draw, and just 2 losses. The visitors are characterized by an excellent streak of five consecutive wins, scoring 16 goals while conceding only 5 during this period. In away matches, AEK wins 71% of the time, averaging 2 goals per game and maintaining a high conversion rate (14%). Aris, meanwhile, sits in 7th position with mediocre home form (29% wins, 57% draws) and a low average of goals scored at home (0.86 per match). The difference in team quality, confirmed by a higher average xG for AEK (1.65 vs 1.59 for Aris) and the visitors' outstanding disposition, indicates a probable victory for AEK Athens. The goal difference of both teams (+7 for AEK away vs +1 for Aris at home) further supports the favorite.
Aris vs AEK Athens: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aris played AEK Athens in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Aris: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. AEK Athens: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aris scores 0.87 and concedes 1.07 goals per match. AEK Athens scores 1.73 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aris 47%, AEK Athens 33%. Over 2.5: Aris 33%, AEK Athens 33%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Athens has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.37. Aris: 12.6 shots per match, AEK Athens: 16.3.
Match halves
Aris: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47. AEK Athens: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Aris: 61-75 (4 goals). AEK Athens: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Athens is displaying dominant form, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 12 wins, 1 draw, and just 2 losses. The visitors are characterized by an excellent streak of five consecutive wins, scoring 16 goals while conceding only 5 during this period. In away matches, AEK wins 71% of the time, averaging 2 goals per game and maintaining a high conversion rate (14%). Aris, meanwhile, sits in 7th position with mediocre home form (29% wins, 57% draws) and a low average of goals scored at home (0.86 per match). The difference in team quality, confirmed by a higher average xG for AEK (1.65 vs 1.59 for Aris) and the visitors' outstanding disposition, indicates a probable victory for AEK Athens. The goal difference of both teams (+7 for AEK away vs +1 for Aris at home) further supports the favorite.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aris | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Athens is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aris · 3 pts / match - AEK Athens
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Athens is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Aris · 1.73 goals / match - AEK Athens
AEK Athens is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.07 goals / match - Aris · 0.73 goals / match - AEK Athens
Aris scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while AEK Athens keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
AEK Athens scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aris
Over / Under - AEK Athens
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Athens is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Aris · 1.4 pts / match - AEK Athens
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEK Athens - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aris
AEK Athens
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Aris | Liga | AEK Athens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.93 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aris 0 - 0 - 1 AEK Athens. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aris vs AEK Athens?
The Super League match finished Aris 1:1 AEK Athens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aris vs AEK Athens?
Aris score 0.87 goals per game on average and AEK Athens 1.73. The Super League average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Aris's matches and 33% of AEK Athens's.
What form are Aris and AEK Athens in?
Over the last 5 games Aris have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and AEK Athens 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aris vs AEK Athens?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aris vs AEK Athens: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.