Aris vs Apollon: match statistics

Apollon have shown significantly better form in their last five matches, winning 3 games and averaging 2.0 goals per match, while Aris have recorded just 1 victory. The hosts have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, with their defence conceding as many as 12 goals—an average of 2.4 per game. Apollon conceded 6 goals over the same period, half as many as Aris, while also boasting the better attacking record at 10:6. The difference is further reflected in the average points tally across the five rounds: 1.8 for the visitors compared with just 0.6 for the hosts. Aris’s home advantage could increase the likelihood of a closely contested spell, but the current trends clearly point towards an Apollon victory.

Data from the last 5 matches indicates a moderate preference for the scenario in which both teams score: Aris averaged 1.76 xG, while Apollon averaged 1.78 xG. Apollon scored 2.0 goals per match during this period, whereas Aris conceded as many as 2.4, making an away goal highly likely. The hosts scored only 1.2 goals per game, but Apollon's defence conceded an average of 1.2 goals, which, combined with Aris's 1.76 xG, provides a solid basis for the hosts to respond. Caution is advised by the low BTTS figures from the last five matches—40% for Aris and 20% for Apollon. However, the high xG figures and Aris's weak defence slightly strengthen the BTTS - Yes pick.

The available data from the last 5 matches points to an open game profile: Aris conceded an average of 2.4 goals, while Apollon scored 2.0 goals per match. Aris scored 6 goals during this period, whereas Apollon scored 10, with both teams recording matches featuring at least 3 goals in 60% of cases. The creative potential also remains high, as average xG stood at 1.76 for Aris and 1.78 for Apollon. Although Apollon allowed opponents an average xG of just 1.00, Aris's defensive weakness and 12 goals conceded in 5 matches clearly increase the likelihood of at least two goals. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.05 goals provides a substantial margin over this line.

The strongest signal points to Apollon leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle: the visitors were ahead after 45 minutes in 60% of their last five matches, while Aris were trailing at half-time in as many as 80%. During this period, Aris failed to score a single first-half goal and conceded an average of 1.4, whereas Apollon scored an average of 0.8 and allowed opponents just 0.2. The difference in full-time form is also clear, as Apollon won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 points, compared with Aris’s one win and average of 0.6 points. The visitors scored an average of 2.0 goals per match and conceded 1.2, while the hosts scored only 1.2 and conceded as many as 2.4, further strengthening the 2/2 scenario.