Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn: match statistics
Paderborn shows a decidedly better form, sitting 4th in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Arminia Bielefeld sits in 12th place with just 7 wins. The form over the last 5 matches clearly favors the visitors – Paderborn earned 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to a mere 1.2 points for the hosts (2 wins, 3 losses). In away matches, Paderborn achieves a 50% win rate and a 42% clean sheet rate, reflecting solid defense (an average of 0.83 goals conceded per game). Arminia Bielefeld demonstrates instability in recent home games with a form of "wlwllwwlddwl", and their 42% home loss rate raises concerns. Paderborn's advantage in goal difference (+6 away vs. the hosts' +7 at home) and better current form support an away win, although Arminia's solid performances at their own stadium (42% win rate) mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Arminia Bielefeld played Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Arminia Bielefeld: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paderborn: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Arminia Bielefeld scores 1.44 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.64 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Arminia Bielefeld 56%, Paderborn 64%. Over 2.5: Arminia Bielefeld 48%, Paderborn 60%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.57. Arminia Bielefeld: 14.2 shots per match, Paderborn: 16.0.
Match halves
Arminia Bielefeld: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.84. Paderborn: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Arminia Bielefeld: 46-60 (9 goals). Paderborn: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paderborn shows a decidedly better form, sitting 4th in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins this season, while Arminia Bielefeld sits in 12th place with just 7 wins. The form over the last 5 matches clearly favors the visitors – Paderborn earned 2.2 points per game (3 wins, 2 draws) compared to a mere 1.2 points for the hosts (2 wins, 3 losses). In away matches, Paderborn achieves a 50% win rate and a 42% clean sheet rate, reflecting solid defense (an average of 0.83 goals conceded per game). Arminia Bielefeld demonstrates instability in recent home games with a form of "wlwllwwlddwl", and their 42% home loss rate raises concerns. Paderborn's advantage in goal difference (+6 away vs. the hosts' +7 at home) and better current form support an away win, although Arminia's solid performances at their own stadium (42% win rate) mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Arminia Bielefeld | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paderborn is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 2.2 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.64 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.12 goals / match - Paderborn
Arminia Bielefeld scores in 76% of matches (19 of 25 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
Paderborn scores in 84% of matches (21 of 25 matches), while Arminia Bielefeld keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Arminia Bielefeld
Over / Under - Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Arminia Bielefeld · 1.52 pts / match - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Arminia Bielefeld - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Arminia Bielefeld
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Arminia Bielefeld | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.80 | 2.89 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Arminia Bielefeld 0 - 0 - 1 Paderborn. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Arminia Bielefeld 2:2 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
Arminia Bielefeld score 1.44 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.64. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Arminia Bielefeld's matches and 64% of Paderborn's.
What form are Arminia Bielefeld and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Arminia Bielefeld have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paderborn 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arminia Bielefeld vs Paderborn?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.