Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Tommaso Dal MolinData current as of 21 October 2026

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Arzignano Valchiampo play Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin.

Current form

Arzignano Valchiampo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Novara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.40 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.40 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Arzignano Valchiampo 60%, Novara 50%. Over 2.5: Arzignano Valchiampo 70%, Novara 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Arzignano Valchiampo has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.34. Arzignano Valchiampo: 11.5 shots per match, Novara: 12.0.

Match halves

Arzignano Valchiampo: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Novara: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Arzignano Valchiampo: 0-15 (3 goals). Novara: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.06)
(3.18)
(3.25)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.4Goals scored / match1
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.1Goals conceded / match1.4
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
42%Average possession43%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
4.8Shots on target / match3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.5Shots per match12
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
4.8Shots on target3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
12.2%Shot conversion8.3%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
42%Possession43%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.45xG for1.34
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.62xG against1.52
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Shooting quality

Arzignano Valchiampo: Counter-attackingNovara: Balanced
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)42%25%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 pts / match - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo
WWDWL
Season result split
50% W20% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-3
1.70 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Novara
DLWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1 goals / match - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 1.4 goals / match - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo scoring profile: very strong

Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

14Goals scored (season)10
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
11Goals conceded (season)14
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
2.5Average goals in match2.4
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
50%2 goals50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%3 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%4 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal90%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
30%2 goals50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%3 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%4 goals0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Arzignano Valchiampo - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 10 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
20%Scored in both halves20%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%BTTS - last 560%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Arzignano Valchiampo is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo · 0.6 pts / match - Novara

Arzignano Valchiampo - half-time state
30% leading60% draw10% trailing
Novara - half-time state
10% leading30% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)0.6
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.2
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.8Average goals (1st half)0.9
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
80%Clean sheet before half-time30%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
60%No goal before half-time80%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.3
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
0.9Goals conceded (2nd half)0.7
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
1.7Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
40%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara
40%No goal after half-time50%
Arzignano ValchiampoNovara

Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novara - second-half results

30% W40% D30% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Arzignano Valchiampo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Arzignano Valchiampo
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-39%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Arzignano Valchiampo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

Arzignano ValchiampoLigaNovara
Average goals in match▲ 2.502.40• 2.40
Both teams scored▲ 60%52%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%50%• 50%
Clean sheets▼ 30%32%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%64%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.40
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Arzignano Valchiampo 0 - 1 - 1 Novara. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Arzignano Valchiampo
1 : 1
Novara
Novara
1 : 0
Arzignano Valchiampo

FAQ

When do Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara play?

Arzignano Valchiampo face Novara on 25 October 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Tommaso Dal Molin. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Arzignano Valchiampo won 0, Novara won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?

Arzignano Valchiampo score 1.40 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Arzignano Valchiampo's matches and 50% of Novara's.

What form are Arzignano Valchiampo and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Arzignano Valchiampo have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Novara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Novara?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.