AS Kigali vs Etincelles: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. AS Kigali has a very poor home form with just a 10% win rate and as many as 60% of their home matches ending without a goal, making them ineffective hosts. Etincelles shows better offensive efficiency on the road (1 goal on average per match vs 0.4 for the hosts), yet their defense is problematic - conceding 1.56 goals on average per away match with 0% clean sheets. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -5 in their respective conditions and the same number of points in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG). The high draw percentage for AS Kigali at home (50%) and for Etincelles away (44%) suggests that a share of the points is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
AS Kigali vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali played Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
AS Kigali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Etincelles: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.68 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Etincelles scores 0.76 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 32%, Etincelles 57%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 23%, Etincelles 29%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.22. AS Kigali: 7.7 shots per match, Etincelles: 7.7.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.50. Etincelles: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (5 goals). Etincelles: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely contested match between two teams from the lower part of the table. AS Kigali has a very poor home form with just a 10% win rate and as many as 60% of their home matches ending without a goal, making them ineffective hosts. Etincelles shows better offensive efficiency on the road (1 goal on average per match vs 0.4 for the hosts), yet their defense is problematic - conceding 1.56 goals on average per away match with 0% clean sheets. Both teams have an identical goal difference of -5 in their respective conditions and the same number of points in their last 5 matches (1.4 PPG). The high draw percentage for AS Kigali at home (50%) and for Etincelles away (44%) suggests that a share of the points is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etincelles is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - AS Kigali · 0.76 goals / match - Etincelles
AS Kigali is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.19 goals / match - Etincelles
AS Kigali scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Etincelles scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Kigali
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.77 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.14 pts / match - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.73 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 1 - 0 - 0 Etincelles. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 0:0 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
AS Kigali score 0.68 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.76. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 32% of AS Kigali's matches and 57% of Etincelles's.
What form are AS Kigali and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Etincelles 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Etincelles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.