AS Kigali vs Muhanga: match statistics
AS Kigali are in 13th place in the table and are in very poor home form with just 9% wins at home, scoring an average of only 0.36 goals per match and failing to score in 64% of their games. Muhanga, despite being 16th, show slightly better away effectiveness (30% wins) and a higher shot conversion rate (8% vs 4%). Both teams have a negative goal difference and similar offensive problems, suggesting a low probability of many goals. The recent form of both sides is unstable, with a prevalence of draws for the hosts at home (55% in home matches). Considering the weakness of both teams and AS Kigali's tendency to draw at home, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
AS Kigali vs Muhanga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AS Kigali played Muhanga in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
AS Kigali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Muhanga: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AS Kigali scores 0.65 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Muhanga scores 0.62 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AS Kigali 30%, Muhanga 33%. Over 2.5: AS Kigali 22%, Muhanga 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.98. AS Kigali: 8.0 shots per match, Muhanga: 5.4.
Match halves
AS Kigali: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.48. Muhanga: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.19.
Goals by minute
AS Kigali: 76-90+ (5 goals). Muhanga: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AS Kigali are in 13th place in the table and are in very poor home form with just 9% wins at home, scoring an average of only 0.36 goals per match and failing to score in 64% of their games. Muhanga, despite being 16th, show slightly better away effectiveness (30% wins) and a higher shot conversion rate (8% vs 4%). Both teams have a negative goal difference and similar offensive problems, suggesting a low probability of many goals. The recent form of both sides is unstable, with a prevalence of draws for the hosts at home (55% in home matches). Considering the weakness of both teams and AS Kigali's tendency to draw at home, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AS Kigali | Muhanga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AS Kigali is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.65 goals / match - AS Kigali · 0.62 goals / match - Muhanga
AS Kigali is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - AS Kigali · 1.29 goals / match - Muhanga
AS Kigali scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Muhanga keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Muhanga scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AS Kigali
Over / Under - Muhanga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Muhanga is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - AS Kigali · 1.14 pts / match - Muhanga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AS Kigali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Muhanga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AS Kigali
Muhanga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| AS Kigali | Liga | Muhanga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.65 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 45% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AS Kigali 0 - 1 - 0 Muhanga. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AS Kigali vs Muhanga?
The National Soccer League match finished AS Kigali 2:2 Muhanga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AS Kigali vs Muhanga?
AS Kigali score 0.65 goals per game on average and Muhanga 0.62. The National Soccer League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of AS Kigali's matches and 33% of Muhanga's.
What form are AS Kigali and Muhanga in?
Over the last 5 games AS Kigali have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Muhanga 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AS Kigali vs Muhanga?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AS Kigali vs Muhanga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.