ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău: match statistics
ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
ASA Târgu Mureş played Metalul Buzău in Liga II (Romania). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
ASA Târgu Mureş: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Metalul Buzău: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
ASA Târgu Mureş scores 1.95 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Metalul Buzău scores 1.68 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: ASA Târgu Mureş 41%, Metalul Buzău 55%. Over 2.5: ASA Târgu Mureş 68%, Metalul Buzău 55%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Metalul Buzău has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.60. ASA Târgu Mureş: 12.2 shots per match, Metalul Buzău: 14.1.
Match halves
ASA Târgu Mureş: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.09. Metalul Buzău: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
ASA Târgu Mureş: 31-45+ (10 goals). Metalul Buzău: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga II: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (’1’). ASA Târgu Mureş, the league leader, averages 2.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.58 goals per home match, while Metalul Buzău scores 1.73 goals on the road and concedes 1.45. The home advantage is supported by xG: ASA posts 1.70 xG at home versus 1.51 xG for Metalul away, and the hosts average 5.92 shots on target with a 17% conversion rate compared to Metalul’s 4.91 and 14%. In the last 5 matches both sides scored 8 goals each, but ASA conceded 5 goals versus Metalul’s 10 conceded, and the average points per game are 1.4 for the hosts vs 1.2 for the visitors. Additionally, ASA has 67% of home matches with a clean sheet and a positive home goal difference of +20, while Metalul have only +3 away, so the hosts’ main advantages are a solid defense and superior attacking efficiency.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS (Both Teams To Score) at 60% vs 40% for No BTTS. Seasonal BTTS rates are 45% for ASA Târgu Mureş and 64% for Metalul Buzău, averaging 54.5% and above the league level of 49%. xG indicates ASA generates 1.97 xG against 1.42 xG conceded by Metalul, while Metalul has 1.51 xG against 1.26 xG conceded by ASA — both teams create chances; additionally ASA averages 15.55 shots with 5.18 on target, and Metalul 12.64 with 4.91 on target. In the last 5 matches Metalul concedes on average 2.0 goals (vs 1.0 for ASA) and has 60% BTTS in the last 5, while clean sheets are rare (ASA 27%, Metalul 18%), which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. In summary, the higher away seasonal BTTS (64%), solid xG for both sides and Metalul’s susceptibility to conceding goals lead me to choose BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate ASA Târgu Mureş will score about 1.70 goals (home xG 1.97 vs opposition conceded xG 1.42) and Metalul Buzău about 1.39 goals (away xG 1.51 vs ASA conceded xG 1.26), giving a combined total of ~3.09 goals. Seasonal goal averages are 1.64 (ASA) and 1.73 (Metalul). Both teams register a high share of matches with at least one goal: Over 0.5 in 91% for the home side and 100% for the visitors, while Over 1.5 occurs in 55% of ASA games and 91% of Metalul games. Metalul have conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches (10 conceded goals) and their recent xG against is 1.66, whereas ASA concede 1.0 on average with xG against 1.31, which increases the likelihood of more goal-scoring situations. ASA generate more shots (15.55 vs 12.64) and have higher xG (1.97 vs 1.51), while Metalul have a higher conversion rate (14% vs 11%), so both teams possess the tools to score. Based on this I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: with an estimated combined xG of 3.09 I assess the probability of two or more goals at ~82%, Over 2.5 at ~60% and Over 3.5 at ~37%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Away team looks strong already by half-time: they lead at the break in 5 of 11 matches (45%) versus 4 of 11 for the home side (36%) and have 17 first-half goals compared to the home team’s 13. After 90 minutes I also favor the away team — they have 55% wins versus 45% for home and average 1.73 goals scored per match with 1.45 conceded. Although xG favors the home team (1.97 vs 1.51), the away side converts better (14% efficiency vs 11%) and in the last 5 fixtures they scored 10 first-half goals versus 3 for the hosts; additionally 91% of the away team’s matches feature at least 0.5 goals by half-time. Therefore the strongest and most consistent signal in the data is the away team leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| ASA Târgu Mureş | Metalul Buzău | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.2 pts / match - Metalul Buzău
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.68 goals / match - Metalul Buzău
ASA Târgu Mureş is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.27 goals / match - Metalul Buzău
ASA Târgu Mureş scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Metalul Buzău keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Metalul Buzău scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while ASA Târgu Mureş keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - ASA Târgu Mureş
Over / Under - Metalul Buzău
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
ASA Târgu Mureş is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - ASA Târgu Mureş · 1.59 pts / match - Metalul Buzău
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
ASA Târgu Mureş - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Metalul Buzău - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
ASA Târgu Mureş
Metalul Buzău
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga II).
Teams vs league
| ASA Târgu Mureş | Liga | Metalul Buzău | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.72 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: ASA Târgu Mureş 1 - 0 - 0 Metalul Buzău. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
The Liga II match finished ASA Târgu Mureş 1:4 Metalul Buzău. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
ASA Târgu Mureş score 1.95 goals per game on average and Metalul Buzău 1.68. The Liga II average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of ASA Târgu Mureş's matches and 55% of Metalul Buzău's.
What form are ASA Târgu Mureş and Metalul Buzău in?
Over the last 5 games ASA Târgu Mureş have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Metalul Buzău 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău?
The statistical background for ASA Târgu Mureş vs Metalul Buzău — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.