Asteras Tripolis vs Larissa: match statistics
Asteras Tripolis vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Asteras Tripolis play Larissa in Super League (Greece). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Asteras Tripolis: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Larissa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Asteras Tripolis scores 1.00 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Larissa scores 0.94 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Asteras Tripolis 50%, Larissa 61%. Over 2.5: Asteras Tripolis 47%, Larissa 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Larissa has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.13. Asteras Tripolis: 9.9 shots per match, Larissa: 11.4.
Match halves
Asteras Tripolis: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Larissa: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Asteras Tripolis: 31-45+ (8 goals). Larissa: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-3-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Asteras Tripolis holds a slight edge due to superior efficiency — they score 1.23 goals per game at home versus Larissa’s 0.77 on the road, with the home side’s conversion rate at 13% compared to 8% for the visitors. Both teams generate a similar number of chances by xG: Asteras posts 1.14 xG at home, Larissa 1.11 xG away, although the visitors register slightly more shots on target (3.54 vs 3.23) and more shots overall (10 vs 9.54). Form favors Larissa — the visitors average 0.6 points over the last 5 matches, while Asteras averages only 0.2; in their last five fixtures Asteras scored 3 and conceded 8, whereas Larissa scored 2 and conceded 6. Defensively the goals-against figures are comparable (Asteras 1.46 at home vs Larissa 1.38 away), but Larissa concedes significantly higher expected goals against (1.8 xG against vs 1.38 for Asteras), indicating a higher risk of defensive mistakes. Considering Asteras’s superior home efficiency (lower share of matches without a goal 31% vs 46% for Larissa) and the hosts’ poorer recent run, I forecast a narrow home victory, with a substantial probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Asteras Tripolis | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Asteras Tripolis is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis · 1.2 pts / match - Larissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Asteras Tripolis is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis · 0.94 goals / match - Larissa
Asteras Tripolis is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Asteras Tripolis · 1.56 goals / match - Larissa
Asteras Tripolis scores in 61% of matches (22 of 36 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Larissa scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Asteras Tripolis keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Asteras Tripolis
Over / Under — Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Asteras Tripolis is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Asteras Tripolis · 0.69 pts / match - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Asteras Tripolis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Asteras Tripolis
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Asteras Tripolis | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 2.57 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Asteras Tripolis 0 - 3 - 0 Larissa. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Asteras Tripolis vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished Asteras Tripolis 3:1 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Asteras Tripolis and Larissa?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Asteras Tripolis won 0, Larissa won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Asteras Tripolis vs Larissa?
Asteras Tripolis score 1.00 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.94. The Super League average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Asteras Tripolis's matches and 61% of Larissa's.
What form are Asteras Tripolis and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games Asteras Tripolis have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Larissa 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Asteras Tripolis vs Larissa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.