Aston Villa vs Brentford: match statistics
Aston Villa vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aston Villa played Brentford in Premier League (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Villa Park. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Aston Villa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Brentford: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 0.80 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Brentford scores 2.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 40%, Brentford 60%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 60%, Brentford 60%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Brentford has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.04. Aston Villa: 9.6 shots per match, Brentford: 16.2.
Match halves
Aston Villa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Brentford: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 61-75 (2 goals). Brentford: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Brentford sit 4th and remain unbeaten after five matches, while Aston Villa are 15th and have suffered three defeats this season. The visitors create more chances away from home, averaging 15 shots per match compared with the hosts’ 7 shots at home, and their xG stands at 1.61 versus Villa’s 0.90. This translates into 1.5 goals per away match for Brentford, compared with just 0.5 goals per home match for Villa. However, the hosts have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 13 goals in that run, so their recent form argues against backing the visitors too confidently. Brentford have drawn both of their away matches so far, making a draw a realistic possibility, but the visitors’ advantage in both the number and quality of chances points towards a Brentford win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, goals at both ends were recorded in 100% of Aston Villa’s games and 80% of Brentford’s, providing a strong indication in favour of BTTS - Yes. During this period, Villa averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Brentford scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0 on average. The visitors’ chances of finding the net are supported by their average xG of 1.61, particularly given that their opponents have recently allowed chances worth an average xG of 1.92. Caution is still warranted: Villa kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches and conceded just 0.33 goals per game on average. Even so, the current form of both attacks points to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aston Villa score an average of 2.33 goals at home, while Brentford concede 1.50 on the road, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. The visitors, meanwhile, average 1.50 goals away from home, although Villa concede just 0.33 at home, so I take a more cautious view of their contribution to the scoreline. The teams’ last five matches averaged 4.2 and 2.8 goals respectively, and at least two goals were scored in every Villa home match and Brentford away match included in the sample. With a projected total of 3.10 goals, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick; Over 2.5 offers a smaller edge, having landed in 67% of Villa’s home matches and 50% of Brentford’s away matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by an Aston Villa win at full-time: the hosts were level at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, while Brentford did so in 1 of their 2 away fixtures. The opening stages could be closely contested, as Villa have yet to concede before half-time at home, while Brentford have kept a first-half clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 matches. After the break, the advantage shifts to the hosts: they average 1.67 goals scored in the second half at home, while Brentford concede an average of 1.0 goals after half-time away. Villa have won 2 of their 3 home matches, scoring an average of 2.33 goals, while Brentford have drawn both of their away fixtures so far, strengthening the case for the hosts to settle the match in their favour only after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.8 pts / match - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - Aston Villa · 2 goals / match - Brentford
Brentford is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Aston Villa · 0.8 goals / match - Brentford
Aston Villa scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Brentford scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Brentford is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1.8 pts / match - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.82 | • 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 29% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 61% | • 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aston Villa 0 - 0 - 2 Brentford. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 2:2 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Brentford?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aston Villa won 0, Brentford won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Aston Villa score 0.80 goals per game on average and Brentford 2.00. The Premier League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Aston Villa's matches and 60% of Brentford's.
What form are Aston Villa and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Brentford 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Brentford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.