Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: match statistics
Aston Villa presents decidedly better home form with 67% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. Brighton has weak away results – only 17% wins and a negative balance of -5, losing half of their away matches. In the last five matches, Villa earned 2 points per game, while Brighton only managed 1 point, highlighting the hosts' superior form. xG statistics also favor Aston Villa (1.62 vs 1.40), suggesting better quality of created chances. Brighton has defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match, which gives the hosts a real chance for full points given Villa's solid offense. A draw is possible due to Brighton's tendency to split points (33% draws away), but form and statistics point to an Aston Villa victory.
Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aston Villa played Brighton & Hove Albion in Premier League (England). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Aston Villa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Brighton & Hove Albion: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aston Villa scores 1.44 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Brighton & Hove Albion scores 1.36 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aston Villa 52%, Brighton & Hove Albion 68%. Over 2.5: Aston Villa 52%, Brighton & Hove Albion 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Brighton & Hove Albion has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.46. Aston Villa: 12.4 shots per match, Brighton & Hove Albion: 13.0.
Match halves
Aston Villa: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.88. Brighton & Hove Albion: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Aston Villa: 76-90+ (9 goals). Brighton & Hove Albion: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aston Villa presents decidedly better home form with 67% of matches won at home and a positive goal difference of +8 at their own stadium. Brighton has weak away results – only 17% wins and a negative balance of -5, losing half of their away matches. In the last five matches, Villa earned 2 points per game, while Brighton only managed 1 point, highlighting the hosts' superior form. xG statistics also favor Aston Villa (1.62 vs 1.40), suggesting better quality of created chances. Brighton has defensive problems on the road, conceding an average of 1.58 goals per match, which gives the hosts a real chance for full points given Villa's solid offense. A draw is possible due to Brighton's tendency to split points (33% draws away), but form and statistics point to an Aston Villa victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aston Villa | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aston Villa is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Aston Villa · 0.6 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Aston Villa is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.36 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Aston Villa · 1.32 goals / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Brighton & Hove Albion keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 matches).
Brighton & Hove Albion scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aston Villa
Over / Under - Brighton & Hove Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Aston Villa is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Aston Villa · 1 pts / match - Brighton & Hove Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aston Villa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brighton & Hove Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aston Villa
Brighton & Hove Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Aston Villa | Liga | Brighton & Hove Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 72% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 81% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Aston VillaSubstitutionOn: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos SantosOff: Oliver George Arthur Watkins
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Aston Villa 1 - 0 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The Premier League match finished Aston Villa 1:0 Brighton & Hove Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Aston Villa score 1.44 goals per game on average and Brighton & Hove Albion 1.36. The Premier League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Aston Villa's matches and 68% of Brighton & Hove Albion's.
What form are Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Aston Villa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The statistical background for Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.