Athletic Club vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Athletic Club vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Athletic Club played Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Athletic Club: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vila Nova: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Athletic Club scores 1.04 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Vila Nova scores 1.48 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Athletic Club 60%, Vila Nova 44%. Over 2.5: Athletic Club 32%, Vila Nova 40%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.21. Athletic Club: 11.4 shots per match, Vila Nova: 13.4.
Match halves
Athletic Club: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.60. Vila Nova: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Athletic Club: 61-75 (6 goals). Vila Nova: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova sit 2nd and have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, conceding just 1, while Athletic Club have lost 3 of their last 5 games and conceded 9 goals during that run. However, the visitors’ away record is clearly weaker than their overall form: they win just 31% of matches away from home, lose 46%, and average only 0.85 goals per game. Athletic average 0.92 goals at home and create chances worth 1.44 xG, slightly higher than Vila Nova’s 1.22 xG away from home. The hosts concede an average of 1.00 goal at their own stadium, while the visitors have failed to score in 46% of away matches, limiting their chances of capitalising on their superior league position. Both teams average just 1.92 goals in their respective home or away fixtures, making a tight, low-scoring draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points towards BTTS - No, primarily because Vila Nova recorded BTTS in only 31% of their matches this season, and it has not occurred once in their last 5 games. Away from home, the visitors score just 0.85 goals on average, have failed to score in 46% of such matches, and convert only 7% of their shots, compared with 14% for Athletic Club. Athletic Club should have chances to score, as they average 2.17 goals at home with an xG of 1.69, but Vila Nova have conceded just 1 goal in their last five appearances, with an average xG against of 0.92. The hosts’ defensive form, including 1.8 goals conceded and an xG against of 2.06 across their last 5 matches, increases the risk of an away goal; however, the visitors’ season-long inefficiency and their ongoing run without BTTS still support the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Athletic Club are clearly more dangerous at home, scoring an average of 2.17 goals with an xG of 1.69, while Vila Nova have conceded just 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 games. The visitors have offensive problems away from home, scoring only 0.85 goals on average, and failed to score in as many as 46% of such matches. Over the course of the season, Vila Nova’s matches finished with under 3.5 goals in 92% of cases, while the figure for Athletic Club is also high at 75%. At the same time, the visitors’ recent defensive form limits the hosts’ scoring outlook despite their advantage in shots on target, at 5.5 compared with 3.0. With 2.25 goals expected, the safest pick is Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Athletic Club leading at the break and the home side winning the match, as they win 75% of their home games, while Vila Nova lose 46% of their away fixtures. Athletic have been ahead at half-time in 7 of 12 home matches, or 58%, whereas the visitors have led at that stage only twice, giving them a 15% rate. The hosts score an average of 1.25 goals before the break and concede just 0.42, while Vila Nova score only 0.31 goals in the first half and fail to score before half-time in 69% of their away games. Athletic's advantage is also evident over the full match: they average 2.17 goals, 5.5 shots on target and an xG of 1.69, compared with the visitors' 0.85 goals, 3.0 shots on target and xG of 1.22. However, Vila Nova's last five matches have been very solid defensively, with an average of only 0.2 goals conceded, so a draw at half-time followed by an Athletic win after the break remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Athletic Club | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Athletic Club · 2 pts / match - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1.48 goals / match - Vila Nova
Vila Nova is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Athletic Club · 1 goals / match - Vila Nova
Athletic Club scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Vila Nova scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Athletic Club
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Athletic Club - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Athletic Club | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.12 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 41% | • 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Athletic Club 0 - 2 - 1 Vila Nova. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Athletic Club 5:0 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Athletic Club and Vila Nova?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Athletic Club won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?
Athletic Club score 1.04 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.48. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Athletic Club's matches and 44% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Athletic Club and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Athletic Club have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Athletic Club vs Vila Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.