United States - MLSMercedes-Benz StadiumData current as of 20 October 2026

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlanta United FC play Chicago Fire in MLS (United States). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Current form

Atlanta United FC: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Chicago Fire: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlanta United FC scores 1.23 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Chicago Fire scores 1.73 and concedes 1.47. League average: 3.25 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlanta United FC 63%, Chicago Fire 70%. Over 2.5: Atlanta United FC 63%, Chicago Fire 73%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

Chicago Fire has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.43. Atlanta United FC: 13.2 shots per match, Chicago Fire: 14.3.

Match halves

Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Chicago Fire: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.97.

Goals by minute

Atlanta United FC: 61-75 (8 goals). Chicago Fire: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

MLS: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.44)
(3.82)
(2.79)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.23Goals scored / match1.73
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.7Goals conceded / match1.47
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51%Average possession52%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
4.07Shots on target / match5.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.23Shots per match14.27
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
4.07Shots on target5.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
9.3%Shot conversion12.1%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51%Possession52%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.43xG for1.61
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.39xG against1.43
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Shooting quality

Atlanta United FC: BalancedChicago Fire: Attacking
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chicago Fire is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC
WDLWL
Season result split
27% W20% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-16
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-9
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Chicago Fire
WWWLL
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-10
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chicago Fire is 41% better for: goals scored per match.

1.23 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.73 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.7 goals / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.47 goals / match - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC scoring profile: very strong

Atlanta United FC scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).

Chicago Fire scoring profile: very strong

Chicago Fire scores in 90% of matches (27 of 30 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).

37Goals scored (season)52
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
51Goals conceded (season)44
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
2.93Average goals in match3.2
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
8Goals scored (last 5)7
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
8Goals conceded (last 5)6
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal90%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
43%2 goals53%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
10%3 goals20%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0%4 goals7%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal77%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
57%2 goals40%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
23%3 goals27%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
3%4 goals3%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

63%
Atlanta United FC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 30 matches
64%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time30%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
7%BTTS in both halves13%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
30%Scored in both halves37%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
60%BTTS - last 560%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time30%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chicago Fire is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.17 pts / match - Atlanta United FC · 1.53 pts / match - Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC - half-time state
27% leading37% draw37% trailing
Chicago Fire - half-time state
40% leading33% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per match (1st half)1.53
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.17Average goals (1st half)1.4
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
53%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
60%No goal before half-time33%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.97
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
1.77Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
40%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire
40%No goal after half-time40%
Atlanta United FCChicago Fire

Atlanta United FC - second-half results

30% W23% D47% L
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chicago Fire - second-half results

37% W27% D37% L
46
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlanta United FC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Chicago Fire - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlanta United FC
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
5
8
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
10
46-60
8
8
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Chicago Fire
ScoredConceded
9
2
0-15
8
7
16-30
6
10
31-45
8
9
46-60
11
3
61-75
10
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.06
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-67%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlanta United FC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Chicago Fire

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Atlanta United FCLigaChicago Fire
Average goals in match▼ 2.933.25• 3.20
Both teams scored• 63%64%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 63%64%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▼ 13%20%▲ 23%
Goal before half-time▼ 70%78%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time• 83%82%• 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.25
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.84
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlanta United FC 0 - 0 - 1 Chicago Fire. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire play?

Atlanta United FC face Chicago Fire on 24 October 2026 in MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

Atlanta United FC score 1.23 goals per game on average and Chicago Fire 1.73. The MLS average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Atlanta United FC's matches and 70% of Chicago Fire's.

What form are Atlanta United FC and Chicago Fire in?

Over the last 5 games Atlanta United FC have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Chicago Fire 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.