Mexico - Liga MXEstadio JaliscoData current as of 21 October 2026

Atlas vs Puebla: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlas vs Puebla: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlas play Puebla in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jalisco.

Current form

Atlas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Puebla: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlas scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Puebla scores 1.00 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlas 67%, Puebla 50%. Over 2.5: Atlas 42%, Puebla 25%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Atlas: 12.5 shots per match, Puebla: 12.9.

Match halves

Atlas: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.83. Puebla: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Atlas: 0-15 (5 goals). Puebla: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.73)
(3.65)
(4.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.58Goals scored / match1
AtlasPuebla
1.5Goals conceded / match1.08
AtlasPuebla
52%Average possession43%
AtlasPuebla
4Shots on target / match4.17
AtlasPuebla

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match12.92
AtlasPuebla
4Shots on target4.17
AtlasPuebla
12.7%Shot conversion7.7%
AtlasPuebla
52%Possession43%
AtlasPuebla
1.39xG for1.39
AtlasPuebla
1.56xG against1.66
AtlasPuebla

Shooting quality

Atlas: BalancedPuebla: Balanced
AtlasPuebla
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlas is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Atlas · 0.6 pts / match - Puebla

Atlas
LDWDW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-3
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WLDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Puebla
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlas is 58% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Atlas · 1 goals / match - Puebla

Puebla is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Atlas · 1.08 goals / match - Puebla

Atlas scoring profile: very strong

Atlas scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Puebla keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

Puebla scoring profile: strong

Puebla scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

19Goals scored (season)12
AtlasPuebla
18Goals conceded (season)13
AtlasPuebla
3.08Average goals in match2.08
AtlasPuebla
9Goals scored (last 5)2
AtlasPuebla
9Goals conceded (last 5)4
AtlasPuebla

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal67%
AtlasPuebla
50%2 goals17%
AtlasPuebla
17%3 goals17%
AtlasPuebla
0%4 goals0%
AtlasPuebla

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal75%
AtlasPuebla
42%2 goals33%
AtlasPuebla
17%3 goals0%
AtlasPuebla
8%4 goals0%
AtlasPuebla

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time25%
AtlasPuebla
8%BTTS in both halves17%
AtlasPuebla
33%Scored in both halves17%
AtlasPuebla

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
AtlasPuebla
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AtlasPuebla
80%BTTS - last 540%
AtlasPuebla

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
AtlasPuebla
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
AtlasPuebla
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
AtlasPuebla

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AtlasPuebla
42%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
AtlasPuebla
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
AtlasPuebla

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlas - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Puebla - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)1.25
AtlasPuebla
0.75Goals scored (1st half)0.5
AtlasPuebla
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
AtlasPuebla
1.58Average goals (1st half)1
AtlasPuebla
42%Clean sheet before half-time50%
AtlasPuebla
33%No goal before half-time58%
AtlasPuebla

After half-time (2nd half)

1.58Points per match (2nd half)1.25
AtlasPuebla
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
AtlasPuebla
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
AtlasPuebla
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.08
AtlasPuebla
50%Clean sheet after half-time42%
AtlasPuebla
42%No goal after half-time58%
AtlasPuebla

Atlas - second-half results

42% W33% D25% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Puebla - second-half results

33% W25% D42% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Puebla - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.40.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlas
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
2
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Puebla
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Puebla

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

AtlasLigaPuebla
Average goals in match▲ 3.082.98▼ 2.08
Both teams scored▲ 67%60%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%52%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%69%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 83%85%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Atlas 2 - 0 - 0 Puebla. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara
1 : 0
Puebla FC
Puebla FC
2 : 3
CSyD Atlas de Guadalajara

FAQ

When do Atlas and Puebla play?

Atlas face Puebla on 25 October 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Jalisco. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlas and Puebla?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlas won 2, Puebla won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlas vs Puebla?

Atlas score 1.58 goals per game on average and Puebla 1.00. The Liga MX average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Atlas's matches and 50% of Puebla's.

What form are Atlas and Puebla in?

Over the last 5 games Atlas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Puebla 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlas vs Puebla?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.