Atlético CP vs Caldas: match statistics
Atlético CP vs Caldas: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético CP played Caldas in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Da Tapadinha. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Atlético CP: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Caldas: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético CP scores 1.60 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Caldas scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético CP 40%, Caldas 20%. Over 2.5: Atlético CP 40%, Caldas 20%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético CP has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.21. Atlético CP: 9.0 shots per match, Caldas: 9.8.
Match halves
Atlético CP: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.80. Caldas: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Atlético CP: 16-30 (2 goals). Caldas: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético CP have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals, while Caldas have recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals. At home, the hosts average 2 goals and 7.5 shots on target per match, whereas the visitors average 0.5 goals and 4 shots on target away from home. Atlético also have the edge in chance creation: their home xG is 1.67, while Caldas concede chances worth 1.66 xG on the road. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal at home, while Caldas have failed to score in half of their away matches. The visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game away from home, so they could make things difficult for Atlético, but the hosts’ advantage in finishing and chance volume points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: Atlético CP kept a clean sheet in 67% of its home matches, while Caldas averaged just 0.5 goals away from home and failed to score in 50% of those matches. BTTS has occurred in 33% of Atlético CP’s home matches and 0% of Caldas’s away matches, further supporting the BTTS - No pick. However, the picture is not entirely clear-cut: both teams scored in 40% of each side’s last 5 matches, and Caldas averaged 1.2 goals over that period. Atlético CP also has clear attacking potential, averaging 2.8 goals in its last 5 matches, while Caldas conceded 1.4. Despite the hosts’ advantage, the bet may hinge on the visitors’ weaker away finishing, making BTTS - No the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Atlético CP have averaged 2,8 goals over their last 5 matches, but the home side's season average is 1,33, so I don't expect them to maintain such a high scoring rate. Caldas average just 0,5 goals away from home and have failed to score in 50% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Although Atlético CP have gone Over 2,5 goals in 80% of their last 5 matches, all of Caldas' away games so far have finished Under 3,5 goals. With a projected 1,70 goals for the home side and 0,80 for the visitors, the total average is 2,50, making Under 3,5 goals the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely opening scenario: Atlético CP have not scored in the first half of any of their three home matches, and two of those were level at the break. After the break, however, the hosts have averaged 1.33 goals at home, while Caldas failed to score in the second half of both of their away matches. Atlético’s recent form also supports a full-time win: four wins and an average of 2.8 goals scored across their last five matches, compared with two wins and an average of 1.2 goals for Caldas. In addition, the hosts average 1.23 xG, while their opponents concede chances worth 1.66 xG, increasing the likelihood of the match being decided after half-time. The X/1 pick is not clear-cut, though, as Atlético led at the break three times in their last five matches, making 1/1 a close alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético CP | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético CP is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1.4 pts / match - Caldas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético CP is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1 goals / match - Caldas
Atlético CP is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Atlético CP · 1 goals / match - Caldas
Atlético CP scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Caldas keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
Caldas scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Atlético CP keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético CP
Over / Under - Caldas
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético CP is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Atlético CP · 1 pts / match - Caldas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Caldas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético CP
Caldas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Atlético CP | Liga | Caldas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 33% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▼ 40% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Atlético CPYellow cardEdgar Patrício Franco Pacheco
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Atlético CP 4 - 0 - 0 Caldas. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético CP vs Caldas?
The Liga 3 match finished Atlético CP 4:1 Caldas. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético CP and Caldas?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 4, Caldas won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético CP vs Caldas?
Atlético CP score 1.60 goals per game on average and Caldas 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Atlético CP's matches and 20% of Caldas's.
What form are Atlético CP and Caldas in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético CP have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Caldas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético CP vs Caldas?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.