Spain - La LigaRiyadh Air MetropolitanoData current as of 20 September 2026

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Madrid play Real Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Current form

Atlético Madrid: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Real Madrid: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Madrid scores 2.33 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Real Madrid scores 2.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Madrid 33%, Real Madrid 67%. Over 2.5: Atlético Madrid 83%, Real Madrid 83%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.34 vs 1.86. Atlético Madrid: 16.7 shots per match, Real Madrid: 20.7.

Match halves

Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.67. Real Madrid: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (6 goals). Real Madrid: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

La Liga: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.70)
(3.70)
(1.85)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético MadridReal Madrid
2.33Goals scored / match2.83
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
1Goals conceded / match1
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
57%Average possession55%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
6Shots on target / match8.33
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.67Shots per match20.67
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
6Shots on target8.33
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
14%Shot conversion13.7%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
57%Possession55%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
1.86xG for2.34
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
1.15xG against1.31
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

Shooting quality

Atlético Madrid: DominantReal Madrid: Dominant
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
Accuracy (shots on target)36%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Real Madrid is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Atlético Madrid · 2.4 pts / match - Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid
DWLWW
Season result split
67% W17% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%
Real Madrid
WWLWW
Season result split
83% W0% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-1
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.34Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Madrid is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Atlético Madrid · 2.83 goals / match - Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Madrid scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Real Madrid scoring profile: strong

Real Madrid scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

14Goals scored (season)17
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
6Goals conceded (season)6
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
3.33Average goals in match3.83
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
12Goals scored (last 5)15
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
83%2 goals83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
50%3 goals67%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
17%4 goals50%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
33%2 goals17%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
17%3 goals0%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
0%4 goals0%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
17%Scored in both halves83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
50%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
40%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time83%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
83%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Madrid is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Atlético Madrid · 2 pts / match - Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Real Madrid - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)2
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.67
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
0.67Average goals (1st half)2
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
100%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
67%No goal before half-time17%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
1.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid
33%No goal after half-time17%
Atlético MadridReal Madrid

Atlético Madrid - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Madrid - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
12
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Madrid - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match0.82.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Real Madrid - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match2.02.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+8+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Madrid
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Real Madrid
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Madrid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Real Madrid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
211%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Atlético MadridLigaReal Madrid
Average goals in match 3.333.00 3.83
Both teams scored 33%56% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%55% 83%
Clean sheets 50%26% 17%
Goal before half-time 33%66% 83%
Goal after half-time 100%79% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 - 1 Real Madrid. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Real Madrid CF
3 : 2
Club Atlético de Madrid
Club Atlético de Madrid
5 : 2
Real Madrid CF

FAQ

When do Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid play?

Atlético Madrid face Real Madrid on 20 September 2026 in La Liga at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Atlético Madrid score 2.33 goals per game on average and Real Madrid 2.83. The La Liga average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Atlético Madrid's matches and 67% of Real Madrid's.

What form are Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Madrid have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Real Madrid 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

The statistical background for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.