Brazil - Serie AArena MRVData current as of 25 July 2026

Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino: match statistics

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Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Mineiro play Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 29 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Arena MRV.

Current form

Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bragantino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.37 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Bragantino 47%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 42%, Bragantino 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Bragantino has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. Atlético Mineiro: 13.6 shots per match, Bragantino: 15.8.

Match halves

Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53. Bragantino: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.21Goals scored / match1.37
Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.26Goals conceded / match1.05
Atlético MineiroBragantino
48%Average possession50%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
4.37Shots on target / match5.05
Atlético MineiroBragantino

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.63Shots per match15.84
Atlético MineiroBragantino
4.37Shots on target5.05
Atlético MineiroBragantino
8.9%Shot conversion8.6%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
48%Possession50%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.45xG for1.67
Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.57xG against1.28
Atlético MineiroBragantino

Shooting quality

Atlético Mineiro: BalancedBragantino: Attacking
Atlético MineiroBragantino
Accuracy (shots on target)32%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bragantino is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 2 pts / match - Bragantino

Atlético Mineiro
DWLWD
Season result split
37% W21% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-8
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Bragantino
LWWWD
Season result split
47% W16% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-7
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.71Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bragantino is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.37 goals / match - Bragantino

Bragantino is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.05 goals / match - Bragantino

Atlético Mineiro scoring profile: strong

Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

Bragantino scoring profile: very strong

Bragantino scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

23Goals scored (season)26
Atlético MineiroBragantino
24Goals conceded (season)20
Atlético MineiroBragantino
2.47Average goals in match2.42
Atlético MineiroBragantino
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Atlético MineiroBragantino
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
Atlético MineiroBragantino

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal79%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
32%2 goals32%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
21%3 goals21%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
5%4 goals5%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal68%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
32%2 goals37%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
11%3 goals0%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
5%4 goals0%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Atlético Mineiro - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 19 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time21%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
32%Scored in both halves32%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
60%BTTS - last 540%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bragantino is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.63 pts / match - Bragantino

Atlético Mineiro - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing
Bragantino - half-time state
42% leading37% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.63
Atlético MineiroBragantino
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Atlético MineiroBragantino
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.32
Atlético MineiroBragantino
58%Clean sheet before half-time58%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
47%No goal before half-time37%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

After half-time (2nd half)

0.89Points per match (2nd half)1.47
Atlético MineiroBragantino
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Atlético MineiroBragantino
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Atlético MineiroBragantino
1.26Average goals (2nd half)1.11
Atlético MineiroBragantino
37%Clean sheet after half-time58%
Atlético MineiroBragantino
58%No goal after half-time53%
Atlético MineiroBragantino

Atlético Mineiro - second-half results

16% W42% R42% P
28
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bragantino - second-half results

42% W21% R37% P
31
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético Mineiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Bragantino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Mineiro
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Bragantino
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
3
31-45
6
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Mineiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bragantino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Atlético MineiroLigaBragantino
Average goals in match 2.472.65 2.42
Both teams scored 42%58% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 42%51% 42%
Clean sheets 21%23% 32%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 84%
Goal after half-time 79%78% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.12
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atlético Mineiro 1 - 0 - 2 Bragantino. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Bragantino
1 : 0
Atlético Mineiro
Clube Atlético Bragantino
2 : 0
CA Mineiro
CA Mineiro
2 : 1
Clube Atlético Bragantino

FAQ

When do Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino play?

Atlético Mineiro face Bragantino on 29 July 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Bragantino won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?

Atlético Mineiro score 1.21 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.37. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 47% of Bragantino's.

What form are Atlético Mineiro and Bragantino in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bragantino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino?

The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Bragantino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.