Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: match statistics
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Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro play Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Arena MRV.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fluminense: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.28 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 44%, Fluminense 73%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Fluminense 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.40. Atlético Mineiro: 13.0 shots per match, Fluminense: 15.0.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Fluminense: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 61-75 (8 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 2.2 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.54 goals / match - Fluminense
Atlético Mineiro scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Fluminense scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.42 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.48 | 2.63 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Mineiro 1 - 0 - 2 Fluminense. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense play?
Atlético Mineiro face Fluminense on 12 September 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 1, Fluminense won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.28 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.54. The Serie A average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 73% of Fluminense's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fluminense 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.