Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: match statistics
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Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Mineiro play Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Arena MRV.
Current form
Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Grêmio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.29 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Grêmio 62%. Over 2.5: Atlético Mineiro 48%, Grêmio 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.25. Atlético Mineiro: 13.2 shots per match, Grêmio: 11.3.
Match halves
Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.57. Grêmio: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Atlético Mineiro: 31-45+ (7 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Mineiro | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.4 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1.14 goals / match - Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
Grêmio scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Mineiro
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro · 1 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Mineiro | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Mineiro 0 - 0 - 3 Grêmio. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio play?
Atlético Mineiro face Grêmio on 16 August 2026 in Serie A at Arena MRV. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Mineiro won 0, Grêmio won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?
Atlético Mineiro score 1.29 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.14. The Serie A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Atlético Mineiro's matches and 62% of Grêmio's.
What form are Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Mineiro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Grêmio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?
The statistical background for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.