Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: match statistics
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Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Deportes Tolima in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 8 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Deportes Tolima: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 2.00 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Deportes Tolima scores 1.31 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 46%, Deportes Tolima 51%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 63%, Deportes Tolima 40%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.50. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Deportes Tolima: 13.9.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.26. Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (18 goals). Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.6 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.31 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Atlético Nacional is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.97 goals / match - Deportes Tolima
Atlético Nacional scores in 74% of matches (26 of 35 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
Deportes Tolima scores in 71% of matches (25 of 35 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.57 pts / match - Deportes Tolima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Deportes Tolima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 55% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Nacional 3 - 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima play?
Atlético Nacional face Deportes Tolima on 8 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 3, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Nacional score 2.00 goals per game on average and Deportes Tolima 1.31. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 51% of Deportes Tolima's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Deportes Tolima in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Deportes Tolima 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.