Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional played Deportivo Cali in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 27 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Deportivo Cali: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.93 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Deportivo Cali scores 1.13 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 39%, Deportivo Cali 39%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 64%, Deportivo Cali 26%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.39. Atlético Nacional: 16.6 shots per match, Deportivo Cali: 13.3.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.29. Deportivo Cali: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (14 goals). Deportivo Cali: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional are exceptionally effective at home: they win 92% of their matches, score an average of 2.75 goals, and concede just 0.42 goals per game. The hosts create significantly more chances, averaging 21.08 shots, 7.67 shots on target, and an xG of 2.15, while Deportivo Cali manage just 12.09 shots, 3.55 shots on target, and an xG of 1.27 away from home. Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 58% of their home matches, while the visitors have failed to score in as many as 45% of their away games. Both teams have won 4 of their last 5 matches, but Cali lose 55% of their away fixtures and score just 0.91 goals on average. The hosts’ advantage in chance quality, possession control at 57% compared with 46%, and highly solid defence points to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The “No” pick is supported by the low seasonal percentage of matches in which both teams scored: it stands at 36% for both Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Cali, well below the league average of 52%. Atlético Nacional concede just 0.55 goals per home match, keep a clean sheet in 55% of their fixtures, and have allowed only 1 goal across their last five matches—an average of 0.2. Deportivo Cali have failed to score in 45% of their away matches, which, combined with the hosts’ highly effective defence, increases the likelihood of the visitors drawing a blank. Recent form also points against BTTS, as Atlético Nacional recorded 0% BTTS matches across their last five league fixtures, while Deportivo Cali recorded 20%, despite both teams averaging 1.6 and 1.4 goals respectively during that period. The hosts should create more chances, as reflected by their xG of 1.52 compared with the visitors’ 1.27, but the most likely scenario is for only one team to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly favors a limited number of goals: both teams recorded fewer than 3.5 goals in 91% of their matches this season. Atlético Nacional concede just 0.55 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their appearances, while Deportivo Cali score only 0.91 goals away from home. Their current defensive form is also strong, with the hosts conceding just 1 goal in total across their last five matches and the visitors 2 goals, while only 20% of each team’s matches went over the 2.5-goal line. The hosts have an advantage in chance quality, with an xG of 1.52 compared to the visitors’ 1.27, but the low conversion rates of both teams, at 9% and 8% respectively, limit the potential for a high-scoring game. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as even a two- or three-goal scenario remains consistent with the dominant trends of both teams.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Atlético Nacional victory at full-time, as Deportivo Cali were level at the break in 64% of their matches, compared with 45% for the hosts. The opening stages are expected to be cautious: Atlético Nacional concede just 0.18 goals before half-time at home, while Cali score only 0.27 goals away from home during this period. After the break, the hosts’ advantage should grow, as they score an average of 0.82 goals while conceding just 0.36, whereas Cali concede 0.73 goals in the second half away from home. Nacional’s expected full-time victory is also supported by their 55% win rate and average of 2.0 points per home match, compared with Cali’s 27% away win rate and 55% away loss rate.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Cali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.13 goals / match - Deportivo Cali
Atlético Nacional scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Deportivo Cali keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
Deportivo Cali scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Deportivo Cali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cali is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.43 pts / match - Deportivo Cali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Cali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Deportivo Cali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Deportivo Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.49 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 52% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 45% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Nacional 1 - 0 - 2 Deportivo Cali. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:1 Deportivo Cali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Cali?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Deportivo Cali won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?
Atlético Nacional score 1.93 goals per game on average and Deportivo Cali 1.13. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 39% of Deportivo Cali's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Cali in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Deportivo Cali 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Cali: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.