Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
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Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.94 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.15 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 44%, Deportivo Pasto 48%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 61%, Deportivo Pasto 48%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.28. Atlético Nacional: 16.7 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 11.9.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.22. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (18 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
1.94 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.15 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Atlético Nacional is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.39 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.21 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.55 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 48% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Atlético Nacional 2 - 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto play?
Atlético Nacional face Deportivo Pasto on 23 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Deportivo Pasto won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
Atlético Nacional score 1.94 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.15. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 48% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.