Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional played Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 4 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 1.66 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.48 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.30 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 58%, Independiente Medellín 50%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 58%, Independiente Medellín 40%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.68. Atlético Nacional: 16.2 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 15.9.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.76. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 31-45+ (21 goals). Independiente Medellín: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.30 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-4-0. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 80%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.48 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 0.94 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Atlético Nacional scores in 80% of matches (40 of 50 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 38% (20 of 52 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 77% of matches (40 of 52 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (17 of 50 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.35 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (21 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.72 | 2.30 | ▲ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | • 34% | 33% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Nacional 1 - 4 - 0 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Atlético Nacional 2:1 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Independiente Medellín won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Atlético Nacional score 1.66 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.48. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.30 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 50% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Atlético Nacional vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.