Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios: match statistics
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Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Nacional play Millonarios in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 25 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Current form
Atlético Nacional: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Millonarios: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Nacional scores 2.06 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Millonarios scores 1.53 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Nacional 44%, Millonarios 57%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 66%, Millonarios 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.70. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Millonarios: 16.2.
Match halves
Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.34. Millonarios: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (18 goals). Millonarios: 46-60 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 1.20, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Nacional | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Millonarios
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
2.06 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.53 goals / match - Millonarios
Atlético Nacional is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.03 goals / match - Millonarios
Atlético Nacional scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Millonarios keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
Millonarios scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
Over / Under - Millonarios
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Millonarios - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Nacional
Millonarios
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Nacional | Liga | Millonarios | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.91 | 2.57 | • 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 26% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 79% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Atlético Nacional 1 - 2 - 2 Millonarios. Average goals 1.20, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Atlético Nacional and Millonarios play?
Atlético Nacional face Millonarios on 25 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Millonarios?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 1, Millonarios won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios?
Atlético Nacional score 2.06 goals per game on average and Millonarios 1.53. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 57% of Millonarios's.
What form are Atlético Nacional and Millonarios in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Millonarios 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Millonarios?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.