Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of 13 September 2026

Atlético Nacional vs Rionegro Águilas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Atlético Nacional vs Rionegro Águilas: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Nacional play Rionegro Águilas in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 13 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Current form

Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Rionegro Águilas: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Nacional scores 2.03 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Rionegro Águilas scores 1.20 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Nacional 43%, Rionegro Águilas 68%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 67%, Rionegro Águilas 52%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.27. Atlético Nacional: 16.8 shots per match, Rionegro Águilas: 11.7.

Match halves

Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.30. Rionegro Águilas: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (16 goals). Rionegro Águilas: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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(-)
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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
2.03Goals scored / match1.2
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0.83Goals conceded / match1.32
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
57%Average possession50%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
6.43Shots on target / match3.64
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.77Shots per match11.68
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
6.43Shots on target3.64
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
12.1%Shot conversion10.3%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
57%Possession50%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
1.77xG for1.27
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
1.26xG against1.3
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

Shooting quality

Atlético Nacional: DominantRionegro Águilas: Balanced
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
Accuracy (shots on target)38%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.4 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas

Atlético Nacional
WLWWW
Season result split
73% W3% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
22-1-7
2.23 pts / match · goal difference +36
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Rionegro Águilas
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
36% W36% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-7
1.44 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 0.92BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

2.03 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.2 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas

Atlético Nacional is 59% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.32 goals / match - Rionegro Águilas

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Rionegro Águilas keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).

Rionegro Águilas scoring profile: very strong

Rionegro Águilas scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).

61Goals scored (season)30
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
25Goals conceded (season)33
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
2.87Average goals in match2.52
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
12Goals scored (last 5)8
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal80%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
67%2 goals36%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
33%3 goals4%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
17%4 goals0%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal84%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
10%2 goals36%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
7%3 goals8%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0%4 goals4%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 30 matches
68%
Rionegro Águilas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 25 matches
55%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time16%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0%BTTS in both halves4%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
47%Scored in both halves20%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
23%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time4%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Nacional is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1 pts / match - Rionegro Águilas

Atlético Nacional - half-time state
33% leading47% draw20% trailing
Rionegro Águilas - half-time state
16% leading52% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.32
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
1.23Average goals (1st half)0.88
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
57%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
50%No goal before half-time68%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per match (2nd half)1.6
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
1.3Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
1.63Average goals (2nd half)1.64
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
70%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas
30%No goal after half-time32%
Atlético NacionalRionegro Águilas

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

67% W13% D20% L
44
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+29
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding221%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Rionegro Águilas - second-half results

44% W28% D28% L
25
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding225%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+5+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Rionegro Águilas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.20
Goals scored / match0.41.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-3+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
6
3
16-30
9
5
31-45
11
6
46-60
12
2
61-75
16
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.

Rionegro Águilas
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
9
31-45
8
8
46-60
4
6
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+11%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Rionegro Águilas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético NacionalLigaRionegro Águilas
Average goals in match 2.872.55 2.52
Both teams scored 43%55% 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%47% 52%
Clean sheets 33%26% 16%
Goal before half-time 70%67% 60%
Goal after half-time 90%79% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Atlético Nacional 2 - 0 - 1 Rionegro Águilas. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Rionegro Águilas
1 : 2
Atlético Nacional
Club Atlético Nacional SA
2 : 1
Rionegro Águilas SA
Rionegro Águilas SA
2 : 1
Club Atlético Nacional SA

FAQ

When do Atlético Nacional and Rionegro Águilas play?

Atlético Nacional face Rionegro Águilas on 13 September 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Rionegro Águilas?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Rionegro Águilas won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Rionegro Águilas?

Atlético Nacional score 2.03 goals per game on average and Rionegro Águilas 1.20. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 68% of Rionegro Águilas's.

What form are Atlético Nacional and Rionegro Águilas in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Rionegro Águilas 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Rionegro Águilas?

The statistical background for Atlético Nacional vs Rionegro Águilas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.