Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Atanasio GirardotData current as of 13 August 2026

Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Nacional play Santa Fe in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 16 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

Current form

Atlético Nacional: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Santa Fe: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Nacional scores 1.93 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Santa Fe scores 1.54 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Nacional 37%, Santa Fe 73%. Over 2.5: Atlético Nacional 63%, Santa Fe 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.36. Atlético Nacional: 16.6 shots per match, Santa Fe: 12.7.

Match halves

Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.26. Santa Fe: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). Santa Fe: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.53)
(4.00)
(5.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.93Goals scored / match1.54
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0.81Goals conceded / match1.08
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
57%Average possession47%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
6.07Shots on target / match4.85
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.56Shots per match12.65
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
6.07Shots on target4.85
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
11.6%Shot conversion12.2%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
57%Possession47%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.73xG for1.36
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.3xG against1.39
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

Shooting quality

Atlético Nacional: DominantSanta Fe: Counter-attacking
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Nacional is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.2 pts / match - Santa Fe

Atlético Nacional
WLWWL
Season result split
70% W4% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-1-7
2.15 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-1-0
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.86Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%
Santa Fe
DDLDW
Season result split
35% W46% R19% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-12-5
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-7-3
Last 5 away
1-3-1
DWDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.01Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Nacional is 25% better for: goals scored per match.

1.93 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.54 goals / match - Santa Fe

Atlético Nacional is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.81 goals / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.08 goals / match - Santa Fe

Atlético Nacional scoring profile: very strong

Atlético Nacional scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Santa Fe keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).

Santa Fe scoring profile: very strong

Santa Fe scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).

52Goals scored (season)40
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
22Goals conceded (season)28
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
2.74Average goals in match2.62
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal88%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
63%2 goals42%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
33%3 goals12%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
15%4 goals8%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal81%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
11%2 goals23%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
7%3 goals4%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0%4 goals0%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

37%
Atlético Nacional - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 27 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time12%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
44%Scored in both halves23%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
26%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
20%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time19%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
37%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Santa Fe is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - Atlético Nacional · 1.54 pts / match - Santa Fe

Atlético Nacional - half-time state
30% leading52% draw19% trailing
Santa Fe - half-time state
35% leading50% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)1.54
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.15Average goals (1st half)0.85
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
59%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
52%No goal before half-time58%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

After half-time (2nd half)

2.11Points per match (2nd half)1.46
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.26Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.77
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
70%Clean sheet after half-time35%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe
33%No goal after half-time31%
Atlético NacionalSanta Fe

Atlético Nacional - second-half results

67% W11% R22% P
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
57
Second-half points
+25
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Santa Fe - second-half results

42% W19% R38% P
40
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.54
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Santa Fe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Nacional
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
3
3
16-30
9
3
31-45
11
6
46-60
11
1
61-75
12
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

Santa Fe
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
9
46-60
8
5
61-75
11
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.68
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Santa Fe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
159%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Atlético NacionalLigaSanta Fe
Average goals in match 2.742.54 2.62
Both teams scored 37%52% 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%47% 50%
Clean sheets 37%27% 19%
Goal before half-time 67%68% 58%
Goal after half-time 89%80% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.97
Away goals / match
+62%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Atlético Nacional 2 - 2 - 1 Santa Fe. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Santa Fe
1 : 2
Atlético Nacional
Club Atlético Nacional SA
1 : 1
Independiente Santa Fe SA
Independiente Santa Fe SA
1 : 2
Club Atlético Nacional SA
Club Atlético Nacional SA
1 : 2
Independiente Santa Fe SA
Independiente Santa Fe SA
2 : 2
Club Atlético Nacional SA

FAQ

When do Atlético Nacional and Santa Fe play?

Atlético Nacional face Santa Fe on 16 August 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Atlético Nacional and Santa Fe?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2, Santa Fe won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Atlético Nacional score 1.93 goals per game on average and Santa Fe 1.54. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Atlético Nacional's matches and 73% of Santa Fe's.

What form are Atlético Nacional and Santa Fe in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Nacional have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Santa Fe 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Nacional vs Santa Fe?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.