Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela played Atlanta in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Atlanta: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.81 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Atlanta scores 1.13 and concedes 0.90. League average: 1.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 32%, Atlanta 35%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 26%, Atlanta 35%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Rafaela has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.18. Atlético Rafaela: 9.2 shots per match, Atlanta: 9.3.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.55. Atlanta: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (6 goals). Atlanta: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Rafaela are favourites primarily thanks to their home form: they have won 67% of their matches at home, while Atlanta have lost 47% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.27 goals scored and just 0.60 conceded at home, whereas the visitors score 0.93 and concede 1.20 goals per away match. Rafaela’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their average xG of 1.33, compared with Atlanta’s 0.88 on the road. Caution is warranted, however, as Atlanta have won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded just one goal in that run, while Rafaela have suffered 3 defeats over the same period. Even so, home advantage and the greater volume of chances created point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication that at least one team will fail to score is Atlético Rafaela’s defensive record: they concede an average of 0.63 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 56% of matches. Atlanta average 0.93 goals scored away from home, post an xG of 0.88, and fail to score in 33% of their away games. In addition, the visitors have conceded just 0.2 goals per match over their last 5 games, and both teams scored in 0% of their matches during that period. Although Atlético Rafaela average 1.31 goals at home and have recently conceded 1.6 goals per match, their season-long BTTS rates are only 31% and 40%. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No); this does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 81% of Atlético Rafaela’s matches and 87% of Atlanta’s matches. The hosts concede an average of 0.63 goals and keep a clean sheet in 56% of their matches, while the visitors score an average of 0.93 goals and fail to score in 33% of matches. Although Atlético Rafaela conceded an average of 1.6 goals over their last five matches, Atlanta scored just 0.8 goals and conceded 0.2 goals per game over the same period. The forecast of around 2.05 goals is also close to the league average of 1.93, giving Under 3.5 goals a clearer edge than the lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest half-time signal favors Atlanta: they led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Atlético Rafaela were trailing at half-time in 4 of 5 and conceded an average of 1.2 goals in those games. The visitors did not concede before half-time in any of those 5 matches, increasing the likelihood that they will hold on to an early lead. Recent form also supports the 2/2 scenario: Atlanta earned 10 points in 5 matches and conceded an average of 0.2 goals, while the hosts earned 6 points and conceded 1.6 goals per game. However, the risk of a turnaround is significant: across the season, Atlético Rafaela have won 63% of their matches and scored an average of 0.94 goals in second halves, compared with Atlanta conceding 0.73.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 2 pts / match - Atlanta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlanta is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.13 goals / match - Atlanta
Atlético Rafaela scores in 58% of matches (18 of 31 matches), while Atlanta keeps a clean sheet in 48% (15 of 31 matches).
Atlanta scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 48% (15 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under - Atlanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.29 pts / match - Atlanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Atlanta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.68 | 1.93 | • 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 39% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 33% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 38% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Rafaela 0 - 0 - 1 Atlanta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 2:3 Atlanta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.81 goals per game on average and Atlanta 1.13. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 35% of Atlanta's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Atlanta in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlanta 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta?
The statistical background for Atlético Rafaela vs Atlanta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.