Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Nuevo MonumentalData current as of 16 October 2026

Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano: match statistics

Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Atlético Rafaela played Defensores de Belgrano in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 14 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

Atlético Rafaela: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Defensores de Belgrano: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Atlético Rafaela scores 0.75 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Defensores de Belgrano scores 0.70 and concedes 0.91. League average: 1.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 29%, Defensores de Belgrano 39%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 21%, Defensores de Belgrano 26%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.

xG, shots and style

Defensores de Belgrano has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.15. Atlético Rafaela: 8.4 shots per match, Defensores de Belgrano: 10.8.

Match halves

Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Defensores de Belgrano: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.35.

Goals by minute

Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). Defensores de Belgrano: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.93 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Atlético Rafaela makes significantly better use of home advantage: they have won 67% of their home matches, while Defensores de Belgrano win only 25% of their away games and lose as many as half of them. The hosts concede just 0.50 goals per match in front of their own supporters and keep a clean sheet in 75% of their home fixtures, contrasting with the 1.00 goal conceded by the visitors away from home. Defensores score only 0.75 goals per away match and fail to find the net in 42% of games, whereas Atlético Rafaela are held scoreless in just 17% of their home appearances. The quality of chances created is similar, with average xG of 1.21 for the hosts and 1.23 for the visitors, but Rafaela allow opponents a lower xG: 1.22 compared with 1.43. The teams have each scored 4 goals across their last five matches, but the hosts' more solid defense and strong home record point to a narrow Atlético Rafaela victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Atlético Rafaela average just 0.64 goals per match, while Defensores de Belgrano average 0.75. Across the season, both teams record a low percentage of matches with goals scored by both sides: 45% for the hosts and just 33% for the visitors, compared with a league average of 40%. Atlético have failed to score in 45% of their matches, while Defensores have done so in 42%; meanwhile, their opponents have kept clean sheets in 36% and 42% of games, respectively. The last five matches do not significantly improve the attacking outlook, with each team scoring 4 goals, averaging 0.8 per match. The league's low overall average of 1.93 goals, along with Atlético featuring in matches with at least three goals only 18% of the time, further supports a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The profile of both teams clearly points to a low-scoring game with few goal-scoring chances: Atlético Rafaela score an average of 0.64 goals, while Defensores de Belgrano average 0.75. The hosts concede just 0.82 goals per match, while the visitors keep a clean sheet in 42% of their games, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring outcome. The 2.5-goal line has been exceeded in only 18% of Rafaela’s matches and 33% of Defensores’ games, with the league average standing at just 1.93 goals per match. The 3.5 line provides an especially strong signal: neither team has recorded a match with at least four goals this season, making Under 3.5 the safest choice.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at the final whistle, as Atlético Rafaela have drawn 64% of their matches, while Defensores de Belgrano have finished 67% of their away games level at the break. The first halves involving both teams are very tight: the hosts average just 0.27 goals in the opening 45 minutes, compared with 0.42 for the visitors, while the combined average number of first-half goals stands at only 0.73 and 0.75, respectively. In their last five matches, the teams drew at half-time in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively, with each side scoring just 0.2 goals on average before the break. After half-time, Atlético hold a slight qualitative edge, with an xG of 1.31 compared with the opponents’ 1.23, but their season average of just 0.64 goals scored limits the chances of a clear turnaround from the draw.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

64Possession (%)36
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
12Shots10
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
2Shots on target1
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
1.46xG1.16
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
8Corners3
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
77Dangerous attacks63
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
13Fouls21
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
2Cards2
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.75Goals scored / match0.7
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.79Goals conceded / match0.91
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
45%Average possession50%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
2.96Shots on target / match3.22
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.42Shots per match10.78
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
2.96Shots on target3.22
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
8.9%Shot conversion6.5%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
45%Possession50%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
1.15xG for1.3
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
1.53xG against1.26
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Shooting quality

Atlético Rafaela: BalancedDefensores de Belgrano: Balanced
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético Rafaela is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1 pts / match - Defensores de Belgrano

Atlético Rafaela
LLWDW
Season result split
38% W29% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-8
1.42 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Defensores de Belgrano
WLDDL
Season result split
22% W43% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-10-8
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético Rafaela is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.75 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.7 goals / match - Defensores de Belgrano

Atlético Rafaela is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 0.91 goals / match - Defensores de Belgrano

Atlético Rafaela scoring profile: mixed

Atlético Rafaela scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Defensores de Belgrano keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).

Defensores de Belgrano scoring profile: mixed

Defensores de Belgrano scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 54% (13 of 24 matches).

18Goals scored (season)16
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
19Goals conceded (season)21
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
1.54Average goals in match1.61
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal57%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4%2 goals13%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4%3 goals0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4%4 goals0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

How often they concede at least...

46%1 goal61%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
29%2 goals22%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4%3 goals9%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0%4 goals0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

29%
Atlético Rafaela - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 24 matches
39%
Defensores de Belgrano - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.9 of 23 matches
41%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time13%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
4%Scored in both halves0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
40%BTTS - last 560%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

1st half

46%Min. 1 goal before half-time52%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time61%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
21%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético Rafaela - half-time state
17% leading63% draw21% trailing
Defensores de Belgrano - half-time state
17% leading61% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.13
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.54Average goals (1st half)0.74
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
71%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
75%No goal before half-time70%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.35
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
1Average goals (2nd half)0.87
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
58%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano
58%No goal after half-time74%
Atlético RafaelaDefensores de Belgrano

Atlético Rafaela - second-half results

29% W42% D29% L
27
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding224%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Defensores de Belgrano - second-half results

17% W48% D35% L
26
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Rafaela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Defensores de Belgrano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlético Rafaela
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Defensores de Belgrano
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
2
31-45
3
6
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlético Rafaela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.74
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Defensores de Belgrano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Atlético RafaelaLigaDefensores de Belgrano
Average goals in match▼ 1.541.93▼ 1.61
Both teams scored▼ 29%41%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 21%31%▼ 26%
Clean sheets▲ 54%37%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time▼ 46%56%▼ 52%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%71%▼ 61%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.93
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.17
Home goals / match
0.77
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Atlético RafaelaYellow cardLeonardo Flores
  2. Atlético RafaelaYellow cardAgustín Obando
  3. Defensores de BelgranoYellow cardEzequiel Lucas Aguirre
  4. Atlético RafaelaSubstitutionOn: Matías MorelloOff: Juan Ignacio Cavallaro
  5. Defensores de BelgranoSubstitutionOn: Patricio MoyanoOff: Agustín Benítez
  6. Defensores de BelgranoSubstitutionOn: Diego Alejandro GarcíaOff: Ignacio Gutiérrez
  7. Defensores de BelgranoYellow cardDiego Alejandro García
  8. Defensores de BelgranoYellow cardPatricio Moyano

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlético Rafaela 0 - 1 - 0 Defensores de Belgrano. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano?

The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 0:0 Defensores de Belgrano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano?

Atlético Rafaela score 0.75 goals per game on average and Defensores de Belgrano 0.70. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 39% of Defensores de Belgrano's.

What form are Atlético Rafaela and Defensores de Belgrano in?

Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Defensores de Belgrano 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano?

The statistical background for Atlético Rafaela vs Defensores de Belgrano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.