Atlético Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipú: match statistics
Atlético Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipú: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Atlético Rafaela play Deportivo Maipú in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Deportivo Maipú: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Deportivo Maipú scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Atlético Rafaela 29%, Deportivo Maipú 48%. Over 2.5: Atlético Rafaela 24%, Deportivo Maipú 48%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maipú has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.15. Atlético Rafaela: 8.4 shots per match, Deportivo Maipú: 11.6.
Match halves
Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48. Deportivo Maipú: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). Deportivo Maipú: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Atlético Rafaela holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they win 67% of home matches, have a positive goal difference at their stadium (+7) and concede only 0.33 goals per game with 78% clean sheets. Deportivo Maipú has scored more overall this season (24 vs 14 for Rafaela) and averages 1.33 goals away, but wins only 11% of away fixtures and concedes 1.44 goals per away match. In the last 5 matches across all competitions the hosts have scored 0 goals and recorded no wins (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses; 0.6 points per game), while the visitors have scored 5 goals and earned 2 wins in that period (1.4 points per game). Quality-of-chances analysis shows 1.24 xG for Rafaela at home and 1.27 xG against, whereas Maipú posts 1.19 xG away and 1.74 xG against, suggesting the hosts create slightly more valuable chances and are more defensively stable. Considering the 67% home win rate vs 11% away win rate, Rafaela’s high number of clean sheets (78%) and Maipú’s higher defensive risk (1.44 goals conceded and 56% losses on the road), I forecast a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Atlético Rafaela | Deportivo Maipú | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maipú is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maipú is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.29 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú
Atlético Rafaela is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú
Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Maipú scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Atlético Rafaela
Over / Under — Deportivo Maipú
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maipú is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela · 1.57 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maipú - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Atlético Rafaela
Deportivo Maipú
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Atlético Rafaela | Liga | Deportivo Maipú | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 1.89 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Atlético Rafaela 0 - 0 - 1 Deportivo Maipú. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Atlético Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipú?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Atlético Rafaela 1:3 Deportivo Maipú. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Atlético Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipú?
Atlético Rafaela score 0.71 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maipú 1.29. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Atlético Rafaela's matches and 48% of Deportivo Maipú's.
What form are Atlético Rafaela and Deportivo Maipú in?
Over the last 5 games Atlético Rafaela have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Deportivo Maipú 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Atlético Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipú?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.