Aubagne vs Concarneau: match statistics
Aubagne vs Concarneau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aubagne played Concarneau in National (France). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stade de Lattre de Tassigny. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Aubagne: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Concarneau: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aubagne scores 0.40 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Concarneau scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aubagne 0%, Concarneau 40%. Over 2.5: Aubagne 20%, Concarneau 20%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Concarneau has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.19. Aubagne: 10.0 shots per match, Concarneau: 11.0.
Match halves
Aubagne: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.00. Concarneau: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Aubagne: 0-15 (2 goals). Concarneau: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Concarneau sit 10th, while Aubagne are 16th, and over their last five matches the visitors have averaged 1.2 points per game compared with 0.8 for the hosts. The Concarneau side defend very solidly away from home, conceding just 0.5 goals per match with an xG against of 0.84, and remain unbeaten on the road, although both of their matches so far have ended in draws. Aubagne have lost 67% of their home matches, score just 0.67 goals per game and have failed to score in 67% of their appearances, limiting their chances of making home advantage count. The visitors create slightly better-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.25 compared with Aubagne’s 1.19, but they too score only 0.5 goals per away match. The low scoring efficiency of both teams, combined with Concarneau’s tendency towards draws, points to a closely fought, low-scoring share of the points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points toward BTTS - No, as Aubagne saw both teams score in only 33% of their matches, while the figure for Concarneau was 50%, compared with a league average of just 36%. The hosts have averaged only 0.4 goals over their last 5 matches and have not recorded a Goal/Goal scenario even once. Concarneau are particularly solid defensively: they concede an average of 0.5 goals per match, keep a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances, and their average xG against over the last 5 rounds is just 0.68. The visitors are not a team that guarantees goals either, as despite an xG of 1.25, they score an average of only 0.5 goals per match and convert just 4% of their shots. A result in which at least one team—most notably Aubagne—fails to score is therefore more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low-scoring profile: in their last five matches, both teams went over 2.5 goals in only 20% of games. Aubagne scored just 0.4 goals per match during this period, while Concarneau conceded only 1.0 goal on average, limiting the hosts’ scoring potential. Concarneau has the higher recent xG, 1.32 compared with Aubagne’s 1.19, but its average shot conversion rate is only 4%, so the superior chance quality may not translate into a high-scoring game. Additionally, the visitors kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches, while under 3.5 goals landed in 100% of their matches to date, making Under 3.5 the clear favorite.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and full-time, as Concarneau have drawn 100% of their away matches so far, while as many as 60% of their last five games ended level. The first halves are expected to be cautious: over their last five matches, both teams averaged just 0.4–0.6 goals before the break, with the combined average standing at only 0.8 goals. Aubagne have scored just 0.4 goals per match over their last five fixtures and have failed to score after half-time on average, which limits the hosts’ chances of capitalising on home advantage. Concarneau are in slightly better current form, averaging 1.2 points per match compared with Aubagne’s 0.8, although their away scoring rate is only 0.5 goals per game. The defensive metrics are similar, with both teams conceding average xG figures of 0.83 and 0.84, respectively; therefore, a low-scoring draw remains the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aubagne | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.10 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Concarneau is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Aubagne · 1.2 pts / match - Concarneau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Concarneau is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.4 goals / match - Aubagne · 1 goals / match - Concarneau
Aubagne scores in 20% of matches (1 of 5 matches), while Concarneau keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
Concarneau scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Aubagne keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aubagne
Over / Under - Concarneau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Concarneau is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Aubagne · 1.6 pts / match - Concarneau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aubagne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Concarneau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aubagne
Concarneau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Aubagne | Liga | Concarneau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 2.28 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 35% | ▲ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 76% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aubagne 0 - 1 - 1 Concarneau. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aubagne vs Concarneau?
The National match finished Aubagne 1:2 Concarneau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aubagne and Concarneau?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aubagne won 0, Concarneau won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aubagne vs Concarneau?
Aubagne score 0.40 goals per game on average and Concarneau 1.00. The National average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Aubagne's matches and 40% of Concarneau's.
What form are Aubagne and Concarneau in?
Over the last 5 games Aubagne have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Concarneau 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aubagne vs Concarneau?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aubagne vs Concarneau: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.