Auda vs Grobiņa: match statistics
Auda vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Auda played Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 7 May 2026. Final score: 7:0.
Current form
Auda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Grobiņa: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Auda scores 1.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.60 and concedes 1.10. League average: 2.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Auda 80%, Grobiņa 40%. Over 2.5: Auda 70%, Grobiņa 10%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Auda has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.04. Auda: 13.5 shots per match, Grobiņa: 8.5.
Match halves
Auda: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.90. Grobiņa: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Auda: 31-45+ (6 goals). Grobiņa: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.90 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Auda to win (1). The hosts have a clear offensive advantage: 18 goals scored this season versus 6 for the visitors, and 10 goals in Auda’s last 5 matches compared to 3 for the away side; at home Auda averages 1.75 goals per game with 13 shots and 5 on target, and shot conversion is 13% versus 9% for the visitors. Auda also creates more quality chances: 1.65 xG per home game vs 1.29 xG for the visitors away, indicating superiority in chance creation. However, the visitors defend solidly on the road — only 0.6 goals conceded on average and 40% clean sheets, while Auda concedes 1.75 at home and has 0% clean sheets. Considering Auda’s better form (average 2 points in the last 5 matches) and the advantage in goals and xG, I estimate probabilities: Auda 60%, draw 25%, away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'YES' (BTTS) with a 72% probability versus 28% for 'No', because recent form and xG indicators favor goals from both sides. Auda has BTTS at 100% in the last 5 matches, scores on average 2.0 goals and concedes 1.6, with average xG of 1.78 versus opponents' xG 0.99 in that run. Grobiņa has a season BTTS rate of 60% (in line with the league 60%), season xG 1.29 and averages 3.8 shots on target per match, while Auda seasonally has xG 0.78 and 1.4 shots on target. Seasonally Auda scores only 0.2 goals per match and has a historical BTTS rate of 20%, and Grobiņa has 40% clean sheets, which weakens the case for 'Yes'. Considering Auda has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and Grobiņa concedes on average 1.4 goals in their last 5, the both-teams-to-score scenario looks stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model produces a total expected goals figure of 2.58: Auda 0.96 (attack xG 0.78 and xG against Grobiņa 1.14) and Grobiņa 1.62 (attack xG 1.29 and xG against Auda 1.94). Grobiņa clearly has superior offensive metrics: on average 10.6 shots and 3.8 on target per match versus Auda’s 6.4 and 1.4, which aligns with the visitors’ higher xG (1.29 vs 0.78). In the last 5 matches Auda averaged 2.0 goals (10 goals in 5 matches) and had an average xG of 1.78; Auda’s matches in this period finished OVER 2.5 goals in 80% of cases and both teams scored in 100% of matches, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Season-to-date both teams have 60% of matches with more than 1.5 goals, and the league average is 2.86 goals per match, so the strongest signal from the data is the Over 1.5 goals market. Therefore I recommend the “Over 1.5 goals” bet as the best line (probability 78%); “Over 2.5” is rated moderately at 62%, and “Over 3.5” at 18%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Grobiņa has a clear quality advantage: xG 1.29 versus 0.78, on average 10.6 shots versus 6.4 and 3.8 shots on target versus 1.4, and scores 1.8 points per match versus Auda’s 0.2. Auda has not led at the break this season (0.0%), while Grobiņa led in 40.0% of matches; average goals by half are 0.0 for Auda and 0.6 for the visitors, so a draw or a visitor lead at half-time is the most likely outcome. Considering the hosts record 60.0% draws at half-time and the visitors have better shot conversion (9.0% vs 3.0%) and a higher season scoring average (1.0 vs 0.2), the safest scenario is Half-Time draw and Grobiņa Full-Time victory (X/2) — I assign 34% to this. The second most likely is 2/2 at 30%, given the visitors’ 40.0% rate of leading at half-time and the difference in average goals scored/conceded (visitors 1.0/0.6, hosts 0.2/1.6). Scenarios in which Auda lead at the break or win received very low shares (8% combined for comebacks/unique wins and 0% historical half-time leads for the hosts), therefore my pick is X/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Auda | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auda is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Auda · 0.6 pts / match - Grobiņa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Auda · 0.6 goals / match - Grobiņa
Grobiņa is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Auda · 1.1 goals / match - Grobiņa
Auda scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Grobiņa scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Auda
Over / Under - Grobiņa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Auda · 1.1 pts / match - Grobiņa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Auda
Grobiņa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Auda | Liga | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.90 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 60% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 50% | ▼ 10% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 87% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Auda 4 - 1 - 0 Grobiņa. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Auda vs Grobiņa?
The Virsliga match finished Auda 7:0 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Auda and Grobiņa?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Auda won 4, Grobiņa won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Auda vs Grobiņa?
Auda score 1.80 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.60. The Virsliga average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Auda's matches and 40% of Grobiņa's.
What form are Auda and Grobiņa in?
Over the last 5 games Auda have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Grobiņa 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Auda vs Grobiņa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Auda vs Grobiņa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.