Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica: match statistics
Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Audax Italiano played Universidad Católica in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Audax Italiano: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Universidad Católica: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Audax Italiano scores 1.00 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Universidad Católica scores 2.38 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Audax Italiano 13%, Universidad Católica 75%. Over 2.5: Audax Italiano 50%, Universidad Católica 75%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Católica has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.05. Audax Italiano: 10.1 shots per match, Universidad Católica: 14.1.
Match halves
Audax Italiano: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25. Universidad Católica: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Audax Italiano: 0-15 (3 goals). Universidad Católica: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Audax Italiano at home averages 1.75 goals scored and concedes only 0.25 goals per match, has a 75% win rate and 75% clean sheets in home fixtures, and a positive home goal difference of +6. Universidad Católica on the road scores 1.5 goals on average but concedes 1.75 goals per match, has only a 25% away win rate and 0% clean sheets, which weakens their away profile. The visitors generate higher xG (1.41 vs 1.01), more shots (14.25 vs 9.75) and boast 61% possession versus the hosts' 49%, and have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches compared to Audax’s 5, indicating stronger attacking momentum. However, Audax is far more efficient in finishing (conversion 18% vs 11%) and with such low home goals conceded (0.25) they hold a real defensive edge, therefore I forecast a home win. I assess probabilities as: home 1: 60%, draw: 25%, away win: 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high season rate of matches with goals from both sides: Audax Italiano 75% and Universidad Católica 75%, which strongly supports a BTTS - Yes scenario. In the last 5 matches Audax recorded this outcome in 40% of games, while Católica did so in 80%, so in the short term the away side provides a bigger impetus. The xG figures for both teams are identical (1.41 vs 1.41), but Audax seasonally averages 3.25 goals scored and concedes 1.0, whereas Católica has 1.5 scored and 1.75 conceded, indicating home attacking efficiency and away defensive vulnerability. In the last 5 matches Audax averaged 1.0 goals for and 1.2 against, and Católica averaged 2.2 for and 1.4 against, so in the short term both teams regularly participate in goal exchanges. Considering the seasonal 75% BTTS for both sides, the equal xG of 1.41 and the fact that Audax has 25% clean sheets versus 0% for Católica, I assess the probability of BTTS - Yes at 72% vs 28%, hence the pick: yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have identical average xG of 1.41, and xG against is 0.99 for Audax and 0.97 for Universidad Católica, which yields roughly 1.19–1.20 xG per team. Audax is far more efficient with 14 shots and a conversion rate of 23% (14*23% ≈ 3.22) and a season home scoring average of 3.25 goals, so I adjust the projection to 1.80 goals for Audax and 1.25 for Católica (total 3.05). With an expected total of 3.05 the Poisson model gives probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈81%, Over 2.5 ≈59% and Over 3.5 ≈36%. Additionally, both sides have 75% of season matches >2.5 goals and 75% of matches with both teams scoring, which strengthens the over signal, so the best and most reliable pick from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Audax most often goes into half-time level (draw at half in 50% of matches; home side leading only 25%), therefore the HT is most likely X. After the break the hosts significantly accelerate: they average 2.25 goals in the second half and in 100% of matches at least 0.5 goals are scored after half-time, while the visitors average 0.75 goals post-break. Both teams have equal xG (1.41), but the hosts convert shots at 23% versus the visitors’ 11%, indicating greater efficiency from Audax in turning chances into goals. Additionally, Audax won 75% of fixtures this season and the visitors have a 50% loss rate, so I anticipate a conversion of the half-time draw into a home victory — hence the selection X/1 (30%) with significant contingencies for 1/1 (20%) and 2/1 (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Audax Italiano | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Universidad Católica is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Audax Italiano · 2 pts / match - Universidad Católica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Católica is 138% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Audax Italiano · 2.38 goals / match - Universidad Católica
Audax Italiano is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Audax Italiano · 1.38 goals / match - Universidad Católica
Audax Italiano scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Universidad Católica scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Audax Italiano keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Audax Italiano
Over / Under - Universidad Católica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Audax Italiano is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Audax Italiano · 0.75 pts / match - Universidad Católica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Audax Italiano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Universidad Católica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Audax Italiano
Universidad Católica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Audax Italiano | Liga | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 13% | 44% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Universidad CatólicaSubstitutionOn: Cristian Alejandro Cuevas JaraOff: Nicolás Ignacio L’Huillier Wielandt
- Universidad CatólicaSubstitutionOn: Juan Francisco Rossel CorozoOff: Daniel Enrique Gónzalez Orellana
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Audax Italiano 0 - 1 - 1 Universidad Católica. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica?
The Primera División match finished Audax Italiano 3:4 Universidad Católica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Audax Italiano and Universidad Católica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Audax Italiano won 0, Universidad Católica won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica?
Audax Italiano score 1.00 goals per game on average and Universidad Católica 2.38. The Primera División average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 13% of Audax Italiano's matches and 75% of Universidad Católica's.
What form are Audax Italiano and Universidad Católica in?
Over the last 5 games Audax Italiano have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Universidad Católica 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Audax Italiano vs Universidad Católica: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.