Italy - Serie BStadio Partenio-Adriano LombardiData current as of 21 October 2026

Avellino vs Calcio Padova: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Avellino vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Avellino play Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.

Current form

Avellino: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Calcio Padova: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Avellino scores 1.71 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 0.86 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Avellino 71%, Calcio Padova 57%. Over 2.5: Avellino 57%, Calcio Padova 43%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Avellino has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.18. Avellino: 11.9 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 11.1.

Match halves

Avellino: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.43. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Avellino: 16-30 (5 goals). Calcio Padova: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.19)
(3.25)
(3.27)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.71Goals scored / match0.86
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.14Goals conceded / match1.43
AvellinoCalcio Padova
48%Average possession44%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
4.14Shots on target / match3.14
AvellinoCalcio Padova

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.86Shots per match11.14
AvellinoCalcio Padova
4.14Shots on target3.14
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14.5%Shot conversion7.7%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
48%Possession44%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.27xG for1.18
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.87xG against1.73
AvellinoCalcio Padova

Shooting quality

Avellino: Efficient finishingCalcio Padova: Balanced
AvellinoCalcio Padova
Accuracy (shots on target)35%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Avellino is 167% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Avellino · 0.6 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Avellino
WDLWD
Season result split
43% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-2
1.57 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
LWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Calcio Padova
LWLLL
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Avellino is 99% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Avellino · 0.86 goals / match - Calcio Padova

Avellino is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.14 goals / match - Avellino · 1.43 goals / match - Calcio Padova

Avellino scoring profile: very strong

Avellino scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Avellino keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

12Goals scored (season)6
AvellinoCalcio Padova
8Goals conceded (season)10
AvellinoCalcio Padova
2.86Average goals in match2.29
AvellinoCalcio Padova
8Goals scored (last 5)4
AvellinoCalcio Padova
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
AvellinoCalcio Padova

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal86%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
29%2 goals0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
29%3 goals0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%4 goals0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
29%2 goals57%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%3 goals14%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%Scored in both halves0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
80%BTTS - last 560%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Avellino is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.43 pts / match - Avellino · 1.29 pts / match - Calcio Padova

Avellino - half-time state
71% leading29% draw0% trailing
Calcio Padova - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.43Points per match (1st half)1.29
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.29Goals scored (1st half)0.57
AvellinoCalcio Padova
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.14
AvellinoCalcio Padova
86%Clean sheet before half-time57%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
29%No goal before half-time43%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.86
AvellinoCalcio Padova
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
AvellinoCalcio Padova
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.14
AvellinoCalcio Padova
43%Clean sheet after half-time29%
AvellinoCalcio Padova
57%No goal after half-time71%
AvellinoCalcio Padova

Avellino - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding61%

Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.9

Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calcio Padova - second-half results

29% W0% D71% L
9
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Avellino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+5-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Calcio Padova - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Avellino
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
5
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Avellino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.73
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.9
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

AvellinoLigaCalcio Padova
Average goals in match▲ 2.862.73▼ 2.29
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▼ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 57%56%▼ 43%
Clean sheets▲ 29%20%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 71%66%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%86%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Avellino 1 - 1 - 0 Calcio Padova. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Avellino
1 : 0
Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova
2 : 2
Avellino

FAQ

When do Avellino and Calcio Padova play?

Avellino face Calcio Padova on 24 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Avellino and Calcio Padova?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Avellino won 1, Calcio Padova won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Avellino vs Calcio Padova?

Avellino score 1.71 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 0.86. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Avellino's matches and 57% of Calcio Padova's.

What form are Avellino and Calcio Padova in?

Over the last 5 games Avellino have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Calcio Padova 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Avellino vs Calcio Padova?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.