AZ II vs MVV: match statistics
The clash between two weak teams in the lower half of the table promises to be very tight. AZ II sits in 18th place with a disastrous home record - an 80% loss rate and a mere 13% win rate at home, although they score an average of 1.4 goals per match and hold a possession advantage (58%). MVV, in 16th position, presents an equally poor away form with a 56% loss rate and only 19% wins, registering very low efficiency - averaging just 0.81 goals away with 56% of matches ending without scoring a goal. Both teams have a negative goal difference (AZ II: -12, MVV: -22) and poor form in their last 5 fixtures (0.8 and 1.0 points per match). Given the weakness of both sides, their scoring struggles, and the balanced sporting level, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although AZ II's slight home advantage in ball possession and xG gives them marginally better chances of securing a win.
AZ II vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ II played MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AZ II: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. MVV: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ II scores 1.68 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. MVV scores 1.23 and concedes 1.94. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ II 65%, MVV 55%. Over 2.5: AZ II 74%, MVV 65%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
AZ II has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.30. AZ II: 13.2 shots per match, MVV: 11.4.
Match halves
AZ II: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 1.00. MVV: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
AZ II: 46-60 (11 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The clash between two weak teams in the lower half of the table promises to be very tight. AZ II sits in 18th place with a disastrous home record - an 80% loss rate and a mere 13% win rate at home, although they score an average of 1.4 goals per match and hold a possession advantage (58%). MVV, in 16th position, presents an equally poor away form with a 56% loss rate and only 19% wins, registering very low efficiency - averaging just 0.81 goals away with 56% of matches ending without scoring a goal. Both teams have a negative goal difference (AZ II: -12, MVV: -22) and poor form in their last 5 fixtures (0.8 and 1.0 points per match). Given the weakness of both sides, their scoring struggles, and the balanced sporting level, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although AZ II's slight home advantage in ball possession and xG gives them marginally better chances of securing a win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ II | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AZ II · 1 pts / match - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ II is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - AZ II · 1.23 goals / match - MVV
AZ II scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
MVV scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while AZ II keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ II
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ II
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ II | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.68 | 3.21 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 20% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 85% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AZ II 1 - 0 - 0 MVV. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ II vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished AZ II 1:1 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ II vs MVV?
AZ II score 1.68 goals per game on average and MVV 1.23. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of AZ II's matches and 55% of MVV's.
What form are AZ II and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games AZ II have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and MVV 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ II vs MVV?
The statistical background for AZ II vs MVV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.