Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 19 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Bahir Dar Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Mekelakeya 41%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Mekelakeya 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.26. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.6.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the away win: Mekelakeya (3rd) has a clear offensive edge — 40 goals scored this season versus Bahardar’s 25 and an average of 1.63 goals away compared to the home side’s 0.75. The visitors convert chances better — shot conversion 18% vs 9% for the hosts and lower FTS 13% versus Bahardar’s 56%, meaning Mekelakeya are less likely to be shut out. Bahardar, however, have a solid home defence: only 0.75 goals conceded per game and 56% of home matches without conceding, which explains the high draw rate (56% home draws and 17 draws this season). xG shows similar expected goals (Bahardar xG 1.34 at home vs Mekelakeya xG 1.31 away), but the hosts significantly underperform xG (0.75 goals vs xG 1.34), while the visitors score above xG (1.63). Considering the last 5 rounds (PPG 1.6 Bahardar vs 1.8 Mekelakeya) and the visitors’ superior conversion, I assess the probabilities as 45% away win, 40% draw and 15% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Bahardar is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 1:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 41% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Bahardar and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
The statistical background for Bahardar vs Mekelakeya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.