Bahia vs Flamengo: match statistics
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Bahia vs Flamengo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia play Flamengo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova.
Current form
Bahia: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Flamengo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Flamengo scores 1.93 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 63%, Flamengo 50%. Over 2.5: Bahia 50%, Flamengo 60%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Flamengo has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.58. Bahia: 14.4 shots per match, Flamengo: 15.6.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.63. Flamengo: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.10.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 31-45+ (14 goals). Flamengo: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Flamengo is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Bahia · 2.6 pts / match - Flamengo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Flamengo is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1.93 goals / match - Flamengo
Flamengo is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Bahia · 0.83 goals / match - Flamengo
Bahia scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Flamengo keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
Flamengo scores in 93% of matches (28 of 30 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Flamengo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Flamengo is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Bahia · 1.97 pts / match - Flamengo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Flamengo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Flamengo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 79% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bahia 1 - 0 - 2 Flamengo. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Bahia and Flamengo play?
Bahia face Flamengo on 18 October 2026 in Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Flamengo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Flamengo won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Flamengo?
Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Flamengo 1.93. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Flamengo's.
What form are Bahia and Flamengo in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Flamengo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Flamengo?
The statistical background for Bahia vs Flamengo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.