Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 9 August 2026. Venue: Arena Fonte Nova. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bahia: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.38 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.15 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 67%, Vasco da Gama 70%. Over 2.5: Bahia 48%, Vasco da Gama 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.57. Bahia: 14.2 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.7.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 31-45+ (8 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia sit fifth in the table, while Vasco da Gama are 18th, with the difference also reflected in their season records: 8 home wins compared with 5 away wins. At home, Bahia average 1.55 goals and create chances worth 1.75 xG, with 5.73 shots on target per match; away from home, Vasco concede as many as 1.89 goals per game and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. The hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws while conceding just 3 goals, whereas Vasco have won only once during this period and scored 4 goals. The visitors' tendency to draw away could be an advantage, as 44% of such matches ended level, but their 56% away-loss rate and lack of an away win favour Bahia. A match dominated by the hosts is expected, although their 45% home-draw rate increases the likelihood of a closely contested result.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is driven primarily by strong season-long BTTS figures: Bahia has recorded BTTS in 64% of its matches, while Vasco da Gama has done so in as many as 78%, compared with the league average of 57%. Bahia produces an average of 2.09 xG at home and registers 6.18 shots on target per match, whereas Vasco concedes an average of 1.89 goals away from home and has not kept a single clean sheet. The visitors also have the potential to respond, as their average xG stands at 1.57, higher than the 1.26 xG Bahia allows on average. However, Vasco’s current form increases the risk to the pick: over their last five matches, they have scored only 0.8 goals per game and recorded BTTS in 40% of cases. Nevertheless, the long-term defensive weaknesses of both sides still slightly favour the BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Bahia create a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.09 xG and 6.18 shots on target per match, while Vasco concede 1.89 goals away from home, which should give the hosts at least one goal. At the same time, the teams’ last five matches have been considerably more closed: Bahia scored 1.2 goals and conceded 0.6, while Vasco scored 0.8 and conceded 0.8 goals per match. During this period, only 20% of matches for either team went Over 2.5 goals. Bahia stayed Under 3.5 goals in 91% of their matches this season, compared with 67% for Vasco, while neither team averages more than 1.18 goals scored. The strongest signal is therefore Under 3.5: the projected total of 2.30 goals leaves a clear margin against the four goals required to lose this bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Bahia average just 0.27 goals scored before the break and Vasco 0.33, while the visitors have failed to score a single first-half goal in their last five matches. Vasco have been level at half-time in 44% of their league matches this season and in 60% of their last five, further reinforcing the scenario of a cautious opening. After the break, the advantage should shift towards Bahia: the hosts average 0.91 goals in second halves, while Vasco concede 1.11. Bahia also create significantly more chances, recording an xG of 2.09 compared with the opponents’ 1.57, as well as 6.18 shots on target per match versus Vasco’s 4.22. A home win in the full-time result is also supported by the fact that Vasco have not won any away match, collect just 0.44 points per game and concede an average of 1.89 goals.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 800% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Bahia · 0.2 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Bahia · 1.15 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Bahia is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Bahia · 1.55 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Bahia scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Bahia · 0.75 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.57 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bahia 2 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 0:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?
Bahia score 1.38 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.15. The Serie A average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bahia's matches and 70% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Bahia and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.