Wales - Welsh Premier LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County: match statistics

125%(3.20)
X30%(3.30)
245%(2.15)

Haverfordwest County is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with four victories, while Bala Town manages only 0.6 points per game without a single win. The hosts have a very poor home record, winning just 14% of their matches and failing to score in 43% of games, highlighting their offensive struggles. Haverfordwest County boasts superior offensive stats (4.07 accurate shots per game vs 2.86) and higher possession (50% vs 41%), giving them an advantage in creating goal-scoring chances. Bala Town sits 10th in the table with a -6 home goal difference, while the visitors have an identical -6 away goal difference but possess much better form and a 36% away win rate. Taking all factors into account, especially Haverfordwest's excellent streak (4 wins in the last 5 matches) and Bala Town's crisis, I predict an away win, although a draw is also a realistic possibility due to home advantage and both teams' historical difficulties.

Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bala Town played Haverfordwest County in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bala Town: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Haverfordwest County: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bala Town scores 0.89 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Haverfordwest County scores 1.43 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.93 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bala Town 39%, Haverfordwest County 43%. Over 2.5: Bala Town 39%, Haverfordwest County 57%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Haverfordwest County has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.09. Bala Town: 8.1 shots per match, Haverfordwest County: 11.4.

Match halves

Bala Town: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.43. Haverfordwest County: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Bala Town: 0-15 (6 goals). Haverfordwest County: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Welsh Premier League: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Haverfordwest County is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game with four victories, while Bala Town manages only 0.6 points per game without a single win. The hosts have a very poor home record, winning just 14% of their matches and failing to score in 43% of games, highlighting their offensive struggles. Haverfordwest County boasts superior offensive stats (4.07 accurate shots per game vs 2.86) and higher possession (50% vs 41%), giving them an advantage in creating goal-scoring chances. Bala Town sits 10th in the table with a -6 home goal difference, while the visitors have an identical -6 away goal difference but possess much better form and a 36% away win rate. Taking all factors into account, especially Haverfordwest's excellent streak (4 wins in the last 5 matches) and Bala Town's crisis, I predict an away win, although a draw is also a realistic possibility due to home advantage and both teams' historical difficulties.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
6Shots4
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
3Shots on target1
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.04xG0.62
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
7Corners3
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
61Dangerous attacks39
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
8Fouls11
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0Cards1
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0.89Goals scored / match1.43
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.46Goals conceded / match1.5
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
40%Average possession50%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
3.25Shots on target / match4.68
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.07Shots per match11.43
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
3.25Shots on target4.68
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
11.1%Shot conversion12.5%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
40%Possession50%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.09xG for1.42
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.8xG against1.4
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Shooting quality

Bala Town: BalancedHaverfordwest County: Balanced
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
Accuracy (shots on target)40%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Haverfordwest County is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Bala Town · 2.4 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Bala Town
DLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W29% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-8-14
0.93 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-7-5
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.65BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Haverfordwest County
WWWLW
Season result split
39% W21% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-11
1.39 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-5
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Haverfordwest County is 61% better for: goals scored per match.

0.89 goals / match - Bala Town · 1.43 goals / match - Haverfordwest County

Bala Town scoring profile: mixed

Bala Town scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Haverfordwest County keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).

Haverfordwest County scoring profile: very strong

Haverfordwest County scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 matches).

25Goals scored (season)40
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
41Goals conceded (season)42
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
2.36Average goals in match2.93
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal79%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
18%2 goals50%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
11%3 goals14%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
4%4 goals0%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal61%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
54%2 goals46%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
14%3 goals32%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
7%4 goals7%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
Haverfordwest County - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 28 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time4%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
4%BTTS in both halves0%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
14%Scored in both halves14%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
60%BTTS - last 520%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Haverfordwest County is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / match - Bala Town · 1.25 pts / match - Haverfordwest County

Bala Town - half-time state
21% leading39% draw39% trailing
Haverfordwest County - half-time state
29% leading39% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per match (1st half)1.25
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.61
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.21Average goals (1st half)1.04
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
54%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
61%No goal before half-time68%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

After half-time (2nd half)

0.93Points per match (2nd half)1.68
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)1
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County
68%No goal after half-time39%
Bala TownHaverfordwest County

Bala Town - second-half results

18% W39% R43% P
29
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Haverfordwest County - second-half results

50% W18% R32% P
35
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bala Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Haverfordwest County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bala Town
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
3
11
16-30
4
5
31-45
6
8
46-60
4
8
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Haverfordwest County
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
7
8
16-30
3
4
31-45
8
10
46-60
5
10
61-75
15
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bala Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Haverfordwest County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).

Teams vs league

Bala TownLigaHaverfordwest County
Average goals in match 2.362.93 2.93
Both teams scored 39%51% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%55% 57%
Clean sheets 29%29% 39%
Goal before half-time 68%73% 64%
Goal after half-time 64%76% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.51
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+6%
Home attack advantage
+6%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Bala TownGoalCameron Ferguson
  2. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Iori HumphreysOff: Jacob Bacon
  3. Haverfordwest CountyYellow cardPanashe Makwiramiti
  4. Bala TownSubstitutionOn: John OwenOff: Cameron Ferguson
  5. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Ashley WatkinsOff: Greg Walters
  6. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Owain JonesOff: Ben Ahmun
  7. Bala TownSubstitutionOn: Taner DoganOff: Jacob Tarasenko
  8. Haverfordwest CountySubstitutionOn: Hari ThomasOff: Kyle McCarthy
  9. Bala TownSubstitutionOn: Charlie FisherOff: Liam Higgins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Bala Town 0 - 0 - 3 Haverfordwest County. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County?

The Welsh Premier League match finished Bala Town 1:0 Haverfordwest County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bala Town and Haverfordwest County?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bala Town won 0, Haverfordwest County won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Bala Town score 0.89 goals per game on average and Haverfordwest County 1.43. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Bala Town's matches and 43% of Haverfordwest County's.

What form are Bala Town and Haverfordwest County in?

Over the last 5 games Bala Town have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Haverfordwest County 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.